**Current numerical weather prediction models from sources including the GFS and regional analyses point to a minimum temperature near 27–28°C for Karachi on September 17, following the recent passage of a low-pressure system that brought isolated thunderstorms through September 16.** Partly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds and high humidity (around 78–90%) are expected to limit strong nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping the overnight low in the mid-to-upper 20s Celsius. Trader sentiment shows balanced odds between sub-22°C and 32°C+ extremes alongside concentrated probabilities around 26–28°C because small shifts in cloud cover, dew point, or steering flow could alter the exact minimum recorded by official stations. The Pakistan Meteorological Department’s guidance for stabilizing conditions after the monsoon influence supports this narrow range, with next model runs and real-time observations likely to tighten consensus before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Karachi on September 17?
Lowest temperature in Karachi on September 17?
32°C or higher 60%
22°C or below 59%
28°C 48%
24°C 39%
NEW
NEW
Sep 17, 2026
22°C or below
59%
23°C
8%
24°C
39%
25°C
37%
26°C
21%
27°C
25%
28°C
48%
29°C
24%
30°C
17%
31°C
8%
32°C or higher
60%
32°C or higher 60%
22°C or below 59%
28°C 48%
24°C 39%
NEW
NEW
Sep 17, 2026
22°C or below
$0 Vol.
59%
23°C
$0 Vol.
8%
24°C
$0 Vol.
39%
25°C
$49 Vol.
37%
26°C
$0 Vol.
21%
27°C
$16 Vol.
25%
28°C
$22 Vol.
48%
29°C
$16 Vol.
24%
30°C
$0 Vol.
17%
31°C
$0 Vol.
8%
32°C or higher
$0 Vol.
60%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current numerical weather prediction models from sources including the GFS and regional analyses point to a minimum temperature near 27–28°C for Karachi on September 17, following the recent passage of a low-pressure system that brought isolated thunderstorms through September 16.**
Partly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds and high humidity (around 78–90%) are expected to limit strong nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping the overnight low in the mid-to-upper 20s Celsius. Trader sentiment shows balanced odds between sub-22°C and 32°C+ extremes alongside concentrated probabilities around 26–28°C because small shifts in cloud cover, dew point, or steering flow could alter the exact minimum recorded by official stations. The Pakistan Meteorological Department’s guidance for stabilizing conditions after the monsoon influence supports this narrow range, with next model runs and real-time observations likely to tighten consensus before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$104End Date
Sep 17, 2026Market Opened
Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current numerical weather prediction models from sources including the GFS and regional analyses point to a minimum temperature near 27–28°C for Karachi on September 17, following the recent passage of a low-pressure system that brought isolated thunderstorms through September 16.**
Partly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds and high humidity (around 78–90%) are expected to limit strong nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping the overnight low in the mid-to-upper 20s Celsius. Trader sentiment shows balanced odds between sub-22°C and 32°C+ extremes alongside concentrated probabilities around 26–28°C because small shifts in cloud cover, dew point, or steering flow could alter the exact minimum recorded by official stations. The Pakistan Meteorological Department’s guidance for stabilizing conditions after the monsoon influence supports this narrow range, with next model runs and real-time observations likely to tighten consensus before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$104End Date
Sep 17, 2026Market Opened
Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current numerical weather prediction models from sources including the GFS and regional analyses point to a minimum temperature near 27–28°C for Karachi on September 17, following the recent passage of a low-pressure system that brought isolated thunderstorms through September 16.** Partly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds and high humidity (around 78–90%) are expected to limit strong nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping the overnight low in the mid-to-upper 20s Celsius. Trader sentiment shows balanced odds between sub-22°C and 32°C+ extremes alongside concentrated probabilities around 26–28°C because small shifts in cloud cover, dew point, or steering flow could alter the exact minimum recorded by official stations. The Pakistan Meteorological Department’s guidance for stabilizing conditions after the monsoon influence supports this narrow range, with next model runs and real-time observations likely to tighten consensus before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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