Forecast models for Munich on September 16 indicate overnight lows near 11–12°C, with trader consensus split closely between those outcomes amid lingering uncertainty in exact timing and intensity. Cloud cover and scattered showers or thunderstorms, driven by a passing low-pressure system, are limiting radiative cooling compared to clearer conditions, while light to moderate southwest winds promote some mixing. Historical September averages place the typical minimum around 10°C, but current atmospheric moisture and pressure trends support slightly milder values. Updated model runs and official observations from the German Weather Service will refine the final recorded low, which resolves the market based on the day's coldest hourly reading.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Munich on September 16?
12°C 26%
9°C 9%
10°C 5%
8°C or below <1%
$1,074 Vol.
$1,074 Vol.
8°C or below
1%
9°C
9%
10°C
5%
11°C
48%
12°C
26%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
12°C 26%
9°C 9%
10°C 5%
8°C or below <1%
$1,074 Vol.
$1,074 Vol.
8°C or below
1%
9°C
9%
10°C
5%
11°C
48%
12°C
26%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for Munich on September 16 indicate overnight lows near 11–12°C, with trader consensus split closely between those outcomes amid lingering uncertainty in exact timing and intensity. Cloud cover and scattered showers or thunderstorms, driven by a passing low-pressure system, are limiting radiative cooling compared to clearer conditions, while light to moderate southwest winds promote some mixing. Historical September averages place the typical minimum around 10°C, but current atmospheric moisture and pressure trends support slightly milder values. Updated model runs and official observations from the German Weather Service will refine the final recorded low, which resolves the market based on the day's coldest hourly reading.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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