Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and numerical models point to overnight lows in the low 80s°F for Dallas on September 12, driven by strong southerly winds and elevated dew points near 70°F that limit radiational cooling under clear skies. Persistent high pressure and a regional heat wave have kept minimum temperatures well above the 71.5°F climatological average, with recent model runs showing consistent 79–83°F ranges through the night. Trader consensus favoring the 80–81°F and 82–83°F bins reflects this consensus guidance, while lower-probability outcomes below 78°F would require an unexpected frontal passage or model error not supported by current observations. Updated local forecasts and any last-hour adjustments from Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport stations could still influence final resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Dallas on September 12?
Lowest temperature in Dallas on September 12?
71°F or below 53%
90°F or higher 53%
74-75°F 40%
76-77°F 40%
NEW
NEW
Sep 12, 2026
71°F or below
53%
72-73°F
8%
74-75°F
40%
76-77°F
40%
78-79°F
27%
80-81°F
32%
82-83°F
28%
84-85°F
22%
86-87°F
9%
88-89°F
9%
90°F or higher
53%
71°F or below 53%
90°F or higher 53%
74-75°F 40%
76-77°F 40%
NEW
NEW
Sep 12, 2026
71°F or below
$0 Vol.
53%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
8%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
40%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
40%
78-79°F
$20 Vol.
27%
80-81°F
$5 Vol.
32%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
28%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
22%
86-87°F
$0 Vol.
9%
88-89°F
$0 Vol.
9%
90°F or higher
$0 Vol.
53%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and numerical models point to overnight lows in the low 80s°F for Dallas on September 12, driven by strong southerly winds and elevated dew points near 70°F that limit radiational cooling under clear skies. Persistent high pressure and a regional heat wave have kept minimum temperatures well above the 71.5°F climatological average, with recent model runs showing consistent 79–83°F ranges through the night. Trader consensus favoring the 80–81°F and 82–83°F bins reflects this consensus guidance, while lower-probability outcomes below 78°F would require an unexpected frontal passage or model error not supported by current observations. Updated local forecasts and any last-hour adjustments from Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport stations could still influence final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 10, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$25End Date
Sep 12, 2026Market Opened
Sep 10, 2026, 3:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and numerical models point to overnight lows in the low 80s°F for Dallas on September 12, driven by strong southerly winds and elevated dew points near 70°F that limit radiational cooling under clear skies. Persistent high pressure and a regional heat wave have kept minimum temperatures well above the 71.5°F climatological average, with recent model runs showing consistent 79–83°F ranges through the night. Trader consensus favoring the 80–81°F and 82–83°F bins reflects this consensus guidance, while lower-probability outcomes below 78°F would require an unexpected frontal passage or model error not supported by current observations. Updated local forecasts and any last-hour adjustments from Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport stations could still influence final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$25End Date
Sep 12, 2026Market Opened
Sep 10, 2026, 3:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and numerical models point to overnight lows in the low 80s°F for Dallas on September 12, driven by strong southerly winds and elevated dew points near 70°F that limit radiational cooling under clear skies. Persistent high pressure and a regional heat wave have kept minimum temperatures well above the 71.5°F climatological average, with recent model runs showing consistent 79–83°F ranges through the night. Trader consensus favoring the 80–81°F and 82–83°F bins reflects this consensus guidance, while lower-probability outcomes below 78°F would require an unexpected frontal passage or model error not supported by current observations. Updated local forecasts and any last-hour adjustments from Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport stations could still influence final resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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