Official forecasts from IMD and global models project Lucknow's minimum temperature on September 12 near 26–27°C amid active monsoon conditions, with partly cloudy skies, light showers or thundershowers possible, and high humidity near 80–90% suppressing radiative cooling. Persistent easterly winds and dew points around 25–27°C further moderate overnight lows, consistent with typical September baselines. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 26°C and 27°C because small differences in cloud cover, shower timing, or model runs could shift the exact minimum by 1°C, while the elevated probability on 21°C or below reflects residual uncertainty in localized rainfall impacts or temporary clearing. Updated IMD bulletins and evening observations will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Lucknow on September 12?
Lowest temperature in Lucknow on September 12?
21°C or below 100%
26°C 49%
25°C 48%
24°C 19%
NEW
NEW
Sep 12, 2026
21°C or below
100%
22°C
1%
23°C
18%
24°C
19%
25°C
48%
26°C
49%
27°C
51%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
21°C or below 100%
26°C 49%
25°C 48%
24°C 19%
NEW
NEW
Sep 12, 2026
21°C or below
$0 Vol.
100%
22°C
$0 Vol.
1%
23°C
$0 Vol.
18%
24°C
$0 Vol.
19%
25°C
$0 Vol.
48%
26°C
$0 Vol.
49%
27°C
$19 Vol.
51%
28°C
$120 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$35 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$15 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from IMD and global models project Lucknow's minimum temperature on September 12 near 26–27°C amid active monsoon conditions, with partly cloudy skies, light showers or thundershowers possible, and high humidity near 80–90% suppressing radiative cooling. Persistent easterly winds and dew points around 25–27°C further moderate overnight lows, consistent with typical September baselines. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 26°C and 27°C because small differences in cloud cover, shower timing, or model runs could shift the exact minimum by 1°C, while the elevated probability on 21°C or below reflects residual uncertainty in localized rainfall impacts or temporary clearing. Updated IMD bulletins and evening observations will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$204End Date
Sep 12, 2026Market Opened
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from IMD and global models project Lucknow's minimum temperature on September 12 near 26–27°C amid active monsoon conditions, with partly cloudy skies, light showers or thundershowers possible, and high humidity near 80–90% suppressing radiative cooling. Persistent easterly winds and dew points around 25–27°C further moderate overnight lows, consistent with typical September baselines. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 26°C and 27°C because small differences in cloud cover, shower timing, or model runs could shift the exact minimum by 1°C, while the elevated probability on 21°C or below reflects residual uncertainty in localized rainfall impacts or temporary clearing. Updated IMD bulletins and evening observations will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$204End Date
Sep 12, 2026Market Opened
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from IMD and global models project Lucknow's minimum temperature on September 12 near 26–27°C amid active monsoon conditions, with partly cloudy skies, light showers or thundershowers possible, and high humidity near 80–90% suppressing radiative cooling. Persistent easterly winds and dew points around 25–27°C further moderate overnight lows, consistent with typical September baselines. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 26°C and 27°C because small differences in cloud cover, shower timing, or model runs could shift the exact minimum by 1°C, while the elevated probability on 21°C or below reflects residual uncertainty in localized rainfall impacts or temporary clearing. Updated IMD bulletins and evening observations will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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