Trader consensus heavily favors an overnight low of 78-79°F for Miami on September 11, 2026, consistent with National Weather Service guidance and model consensus for late-summer subtropical conditions. Persistent easterly flow, elevated dew points near 75°F, and scattered showers or thunderstorms suppressed radiative cooling, preventing temperatures from dropping into the mid-70s or lower. Historical data from Miami International Airport show average September 11 lows near 77°F, with recent years clustering in the mid-to-upper 70s absent atypical cold advection or clear, calm nights. No significant frontal passages or dry-air intrusions altered the pattern, keeping implied probabilities aligned with observed climatology and short-range forecasts. Resolution will rely on the official NOAA minimum under the “Temp” column for the full calendar day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Miami on September 11?
Lowest temperature in Miami on September 11?
78-79°F 98%
74-75°F 2%
76-77°F 2%
72-73°F <1%
$14,962 Vol.
$14,962 Vol.
Sep 11, 2026
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
98%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 98%
74-75°F 2%
76-77°F 2%
72-73°F <1%
$14,962 Vol.
$14,962 Vol.
Sep 11, 2026
71°F or below
$1,385 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$1,505 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$512 Vol.
2%
76-77°F
$802 Vol.
2%
78-79°F
$1,397 Vol.
98%
80-81°F
$7,737 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$854 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$350 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$260 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$66 Vol.
<1%
90°F or higher
$94 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus heavily favors an overnight low of 78-79°F for Miami on September 11, 2026, consistent with National Weather Service guidance and model consensus for late-summer subtropical conditions. Persistent easterly flow, elevated dew points near 75°F, and scattered showers or thunderstorms suppressed radiative cooling, preventing temperatures from dropping into the mid-70s or lower. Historical data from Miami International Airport show average September 11 lows near 77°F, with recent years clustering in the mid-to-upper 70s absent atypical cold advection or clear, calm nights. No significant frontal passages or dry-air intrusions altered the pattern, keeping implied probabilities aligned with observed climatology and short-range forecasts. Resolution will rely on the official NOAA minimum under the “Temp” column for the full calendar day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 9, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$14,962End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 3:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus heavily favors an overnight low of 78-79°F for Miami on September 11, 2026, consistent with National Weather Service guidance and model consensus for late-summer subtropical conditions. Persistent easterly flow, elevated dew points near 75°F, and scattered showers or thunderstorms suppressed radiative cooling, preventing temperatures from dropping into the mid-70s or lower. Historical data from Miami International Airport show average September 11 lows near 77°F, with recent years clustering in the mid-to-upper 70s absent atypical cold advection or clear, calm nights. No significant frontal passages or dry-air intrusions altered the pattern, keeping implied probabilities aligned with observed climatology and short-range forecasts. Resolution will rely on the official NOAA minimum under the “Temp” column for the full calendar day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$14,962End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 3:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors an overnight low of 78-79°F for Miami on September 11, 2026, consistent with National Weather Service guidance and model consensus for late-summer subtropical conditions. Persistent easterly flow, elevated dew points near 75°F, and scattered showers or thunderstorms suppressed radiative cooling, preventing temperatures from dropping into the mid-70s or lower. Historical data from Miami International Airport show average September 11 lows near 77°F, with recent years clustering in the mid-to-upper 70s absent atypical cold advection or clear, calm nights. No significant frontal passages or dry-air intrusions altered the pattern, keeping implied probabilities aligned with observed climatology and short-range forecasts. Resolution will rely on the official NOAA minimum under the “Temp” column for the full calendar day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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