**Forecast models currently indicate overnight lows in Milan of 20–22°C for August 29, driven by a stable high-pressure regime with light westerly to northwesterly winds, clear to partly cloudy skies, and moderate radiative cooling under low humidity (around 60–80% at night).** Italian and international sources (ilMeteo.it, globalmeteo, WeatherBug, yr.no) consistently project a minimum near 21–22°C, with daytime highs reaching 28–30°C. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 18–20°C outcomes (23–29% implied probability each), as traders weigh typical model spread of ±1–2°C from local urban effects and exact timing of the daily minimum. The 23°C+ bin at 26.5% captures upside risk if winds remain calm or cloud cover increases, while sub-17°C outcomes reflect lower probability under current subsidence and absence of cooler air advection. Updated model runs and official minimum observations on the 29th will be the key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Milan on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Milan on August 29?
23°C or higher 53%
18°C 32%
19°C 29%
20°C 25%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
13°C or below
23%
14°C
11%
15°C
24%
16°C
25%
17°C
25%
18°C
32%
19°C
29%
20°C
25%
21°C
2%
22°C
9%
23°C or higher
53%
23°C or higher 53%
18°C 32%
19°C 29%
20°C 25%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
13°C or below
$0 Vol.
23%
14°C
$0 Vol.
11%
15°C
$0 Vol.
24%
16°C
$0 Vol.
25%
17°C
$0 Vol.
25%
18°C
$0 Vol.
32%
19°C
$0 Vol.
29%
20°C
$0 Vol.
25%
21°C
$0 Vol.
2%
22°C
$0 Vol.
9%
23°C or higher
$0 Vol.
53%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models currently indicate overnight lows in Milan of 20–22°C for August 29, driven by a stable high-pressure regime with light westerly to northwesterly winds, clear to partly cloudy skies, and moderate radiative cooling under low humidity (around 60–80% at night).**
Italian and international sources (ilMeteo.it, globalmeteo, WeatherBug, yr.no) consistently project a minimum near 21–22°C, with daytime highs reaching 28–30°C. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 18–20°C outcomes (23–29% implied probability each), as traders weigh typical model spread of ±1–2°C from local urban effects and exact timing of the daily minimum. The 23°C+ bin at 26.5% captures upside risk if winds remain calm or cloud cover increases, while sub-17°C outcomes reflect lower probability under current subsidence and absence of cooler air advection. Updated model runs and official minimum observations on the 29th will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models currently indicate overnight lows in Milan of 20–22°C for August 29, driven by a stable high-pressure regime with light westerly to northwesterly winds, clear to partly cloudy skies, and moderate radiative cooling under low humidity (around 60–80% at night).**
Italian and international sources (ilMeteo.it, globalmeteo, WeatherBug, yr.no) consistently project a minimum near 21–22°C, with daytime highs reaching 28–30°C. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 18–20°C outcomes (23–29% implied probability each), as traders weigh typical model spread of ±1–2°C from local urban effects and exact timing of the daily minimum. The 23°C+ bin at 26.5% captures upside risk if winds remain calm or cloud cover increases, while sub-17°C outcomes reflect lower probability under current subsidence and absence of cooler air advection. Updated model runs and official minimum observations on the 29th will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models currently indicate overnight lows in Milan of 20–22°C for August 29, driven by a stable high-pressure regime with light westerly to northwesterly winds, clear to partly cloudy skies, and moderate radiative cooling under low humidity (around 60–80% at night).** Italian and international sources (ilMeteo.it, globalmeteo, WeatherBug, yr.no) consistently project a minimum near 21–22°C, with daytime highs reaching 28–30°C. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 18–20°C outcomes (23–29% implied probability each), as traders weigh typical model spread of ±1–2°C from local urban effects and exact timing of the daily minimum. The 23°C+ bin at 26.5% captures upside risk if winds remain calm or cloud cover increases, while sub-17°C outcomes reflect lower probability under current subsidence and absence of cooler air advection. Updated model runs and official minimum observations on the 29th will be the key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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