Meteorological model consensus from agencies including the Saudi National Center for Meteorology and global ensembles like ECMWF and GFS currently positions 37°C as the most probable daily high for Jeddah on September 17, reflecting typical late-summer Red Sea coastal conditions with moderate humidity and limited cloud cover. Recent observations show stable subtropical high pressure and sea surface temperatures near seasonal norms of 30–32°C, supporting modest afternoon warming without significant heat advection or dust events that could push readings higher. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread between 36°C and 38°C outcomes against forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and local urban heat effects. Updated model runs and official verification data from Jeddah’s King Abdulaziz International Airport station are expected to resolve the market as temperatures are recorded tomorrow.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jeddah on September 17?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on September 17?
37°C 41%
36°C 26%
38°C 24%
39°C or higher 7%
NEW
NEW
Sep 17, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
2%
35°C
5%
36°C
26%
37°C
41%
38°C
24%
39°C or higher
7%
37°C 41%
36°C 26%
38°C 24%
39°C or higher 7%
NEW
NEW
Sep 17, 2026
29°C or below
$161 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$161 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$161 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$81 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$239 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$242 Vol.
2%
35°C
$232 Vol.
5%
36°C
$2,225 Vol.
26%
37°C
$792 Vol.
41%
38°C
$1,670 Vol.
24%
39°C or higher
$1,580 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Meteorological model consensus from agencies including the Saudi National Center for Meteorology and global ensembles like ECMWF and GFS currently positions 37°C as the most probable daily high for Jeddah on September 17, reflecting typical late-summer Red Sea coastal conditions with moderate humidity and limited cloud cover. Recent observations show stable subtropical high pressure and sea surface temperatures near seasonal norms of 30–32°C, supporting modest afternoon warming without significant heat advection or dust events that could push readings higher. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread between 36°C and 38°C outcomes against forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and local urban heat effects. Updated model runs and official verification data from Jeddah’s King Abdulaziz International Airport station are expected to resolve the market as temperatures are recorded tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 15, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$7,544End Date
Sep 17, 2026Market Opened
Sep 15, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Meteorological model consensus from agencies including the Saudi National Center for Meteorology and global ensembles like ECMWF and GFS currently positions 37°C as the most probable daily high for Jeddah on September 17, reflecting typical late-summer Red Sea coastal conditions with moderate humidity and limited cloud cover. Recent observations show stable subtropical high pressure and sea surface temperatures near seasonal norms of 30–32°C, supporting modest afternoon warming without significant heat advection or dust events that could push readings higher. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread between 36°C and 38°C outcomes against forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and local urban heat effects. Updated model runs and official verification data from Jeddah’s King Abdulaziz International Airport station are expected to resolve the market as temperatures are recorded tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,544End Date
Sep 17, 2026Market Opened
Sep 15, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Meteorological model consensus from agencies including the Saudi National Center for Meteorology and global ensembles like ECMWF and GFS currently positions 37°C as the most probable daily high for Jeddah on September 17, reflecting typical late-summer Red Sea coastal conditions with moderate humidity and limited cloud cover. Recent observations show stable subtropical high pressure and sea surface temperatures near seasonal norms of 30–32°C, supporting modest afternoon warming without significant heat advection or dust events that could push readings higher. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread between 36°C and 38°C outcomes against forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and local urban heat effects. Updated model runs and official verification data from Jeddah’s King Abdulaziz International Airport station are expected to resolve the market as temperatures are recorded tomorrow.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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