Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to a moderating marine layer and onshore southwest flow as the dominant factors capping highs near the Los Angeles coast on September 17. Persistent low clouds and patchy drizzle through the morning of the 16th have delayed full clearing, keeping afternoon temperatures in the mid-70s at primary reporting stations such as LAX. Ensemble forecasts show limited warming potential under continued westerly winds of 10–15 mph, aligning with historical mid-September normals around 76 °F. Trader positioning in the 74–77 °F bins reflects this consensus, with only modest probability assigned to 78 °F or higher if stronger offshore flow develops overnight. Updated NWS briefings and final observations tomorrow will determine resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Los Angeles on September 17?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on September 17?
76-77°F 54%
74-75°F 38%
78-79°F 7%
72-73°F 5%
NEW
NEW
Sep 17, 2026
63°F or below
<1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
38%
76-77°F
54%
78-79°F
7%
80-81°F
1%
82°F or higher
1%
76-77°F 54%
74-75°F 38%
78-79°F 7%
72-73°F 5%
NEW
NEW
Sep 17, 2026
63°F or below
$203 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$160 Vol.
1%
66-67°F
$88 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$87 Vol.
1%
70-71°F
$155 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$299 Vol.
5%
74-75°F
$1,836 Vol.
38%
76-77°F
$2,959 Vol.
54%
78-79°F
$453 Vol.
7%
80-81°F
$30 Vol.
1%
82°F or higher
$614 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to a moderating marine layer and onshore southwest flow as the dominant factors capping highs near the Los Angeles coast on September 17. Persistent low clouds and patchy drizzle through the morning of the 16th have delayed full clearing, keeping afternoon temperatures in the mid-70s at primary reporting stations such as LAX. Ensemble forecasts show limited warming potential under continued westerly winds of 10–15 mph, aligning with historical mid-September normals around 76 °F. Trader positioning in the 74–77 °F bins reflects this consensus, with only modest probability assigned to 78 °F or higher if stronger offshore flow develops overnight. Updated NWS briefings and final observations tomorrow will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 15, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Volume
$6,884End Date
Sep 17, 2026Market Opened
Sep 15, 2026, 7:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to a moderating marine layer and onshore southwest flow as the dominant factors capping highs near the Los Angeles coast on September 17. Persistent low clouds and patchy drizzle through the morning of the 16th have delayed full clearing, keeping afternoon temperatures in the mid-70s at primary reporting stations such as LAX. Ensemble forecasts show limited warming potential under continued westerly winds of 10–15 mph, aligning with historical mid-September normals around 76 °F. Trader positioning in the 74–77 °F bins reflects this consensus, with only modest probability assigned to 78 °F or higher if stronger offshore flow develops overnight. Updated NWS briefings and final observations tomorrow will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,884End Date
Sep 17, 2026Market Opened
Sep 15, 2026, 7:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to a moderating marine layer and onshore southwest flow as the dominant factors capping highs near the Los Angeles coast on September 17. Persistent low clouds and patchy drizzle through the morning of the 16th have delayed full clearing, keeping afternoon temperatures in the mid-70s at primary reporting stations such as LAX. Ensemble forecasts show limited warming potential under continued westerly winds of 10–15 mph, aligning with historical mid-September normals around 76 °F. Trader positioning in the 74–77 °F bins reflects this consensus, with only modest probability assigned to 78 °F or higher if stronger offshore flow develops overnight. Updated NWS briefings and final observations tomorrow will determine resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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