Forecasts from regional models and the Korea Meteorological Administration point to a minimum temperature near 21–22°C in Busan on September 17 under stable high pressure and persistent northeasterly flow at 15–20 km/h. This pattern limits radiative cooling overnight while maintaining mild advection from the East Sea, producing little day-to-day variability. The closely matched market odds for extremes (14°C or below and 24°C or higher) versus the 20–21°C range reflect trader assessment of residual uncertainty from potential increases in low-level cloud cover or minor wind shifts that could alter the overnight minimum by 1–2°C. Official observations from Busan stations will determine resolution once the 24-hour period ends.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Busan on September 17?
14°C or below 83%
24°C or higher 82%
22°C 40%
23°C 40%
14°C or below
83%
15°C
2%
16°C
4%
17°C
8%
18°C
22%
19°C
22%
20°C
24%
21°C
23%
22°C
40%
23°C
40%
24°C or higher
82%
14°C or below 83%
24°C or higher 82%
22°C 40%
23°C 40%
14°C or below
83%
15°C
2%
16°C
4%
17°C
8%
18°C
22%
19°C
22%
20°C
24%
21°C
23%
22°C
40%
23°C
40%
24°C or higher
82%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from regional models and the Korea Meteorological Administration point to a minimum temperature near 21–22°C in Busan on September 17 under stable high pressure and persistent northeasterly flow at 15–20 km/h. This pattern limits radiative cooling overnight while maintaining mild advection from the East Sea, producing little day-to-day variability. The closely matched market odds for extremes (14°C or below and 24°C or higher) versus the 20–21°C range reflect trader assessment of residual uncertainty from potential increases in low-level cloud cover or minor wind shifts that could alter the overnight minimum by 1–2°C. Official observations from Busan stations will determine resolution once the 24-hour period ends.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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