Recent forecasts indicate a sharp temperature drop in Chongqing on August 29 driven by heavy rainfall (15–80 mm locally) arriving overnight on the 28th, combined with cold air advection behind typhoon remnants and weakening subtropical high pressure. This shifts conditions from sustained 37–40°C daytime highs to cloud cover, evaporative cooling, and reduced insolation, with model consensus pointing to an overnight low near 21–24°C. Trader sentiment splits closely because outcomes hinge on precise precipitation timing, rainfall intensity, and post-rain clearing rates, which can swing the minimum by several degrees; stronger or earlier rain favors sub-20°C readings while lingering warmth or lighter totals support mid-20s values. Historical August baselines around 25–27°C underscore the anomalous cooling expected.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Chongqing on August 29?
19°C or below 96%
26°C 88%
20°C 86%
21°C 86%
19°C or below
96%
20°C
86%
21°C
86%
22°C
49%
23°C
26%
24°C
45%
25°C
86%
26°C
88%
27°C
59%
28°C
59%
29°C or higher
59%
19°C or below 96%
26°C 88%
20°C 86%
21°C 86%
19°C or below
96%
20°C
86%
21°C
86%
22°C
49%
23°C
26%
24°C
45%
25°C
86%
26°C
88%
27°C
59%
28°C
59%
29°C or higher
59%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts indicate a sharp temperature drop in Chongqing on August 29 driven by heavy rainfall (15–80 mm locally) arriving overnight on the 28th, combined with cold air advection behind typhoon remnants and weakening subtropical high pressure. This shifts conditions from sustained 37–40°C daytime highs to cloud cover, evaporative cooling, and reduced insolation, with model consensus pointing to an overnight low near 21–24°C. Trader sentiment splits closely because outcomes hinge on precise precipitation timing, rainfall intensity, and post-rain clearing rates, which can swing the minimum by several degrees; stronger or earlier rain favors sub-20°C readings while lingering warmth or lighter totals support mid-20s values. Historical August baselines around 25–27°C underscore the anomalous cooling expected.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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