Current forecast models from sources including the Finnish Meteorological Institute and international ensembles point to a minimum temperature near 14–16°C in Helsinki on August 29, supported by mild southerly flow, moderate cloud cover, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling amid possible light rain. This keeps odds concentrated around 13–15°C while the elevated 31.5% probability on 10°C or below reflects lingering model spread on frontal timing and precipitation intensity that could enhance cooling. Historical August minima average 12°C, so the outlook sits slightly above climatology, with resolution hinging on the final overnight low reported by official stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Helsinki on August 29?
10°C or below 68%
12°C 49%
15°C 49%
16°C 49%
10°C or below
68%
11°C
43%
12°C
49%
13°C
26%
14°C
26%
15°C
49%
16°C
49%
17°C
49%
18°C
8%
19°C
2%
20°C or higher
36%
10°C or below 68%
12°C 49%
15°C 49%
16°C 49%
10°C or below
68%
11°C
43%
12°C
49%
13°C
26%
14°C
26%
15°C
49%
16°C
49%
17°C
49%
18°C
8%
19°C
2%
20°C or higher
36%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including the Finnish Meteorological Institute and international ensembles point to a minimum temperature near 14–16°C in Helsinki on August 29, supported by mild southerly flow, moderate cloud cover, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling amid possible light rain. This keeps odds concentrated around 13–15°C while the elevated 31.5% probability on 10°C or below reflects lingering model spread on frontal timing and precipitation intensity that could enhance cooling. Historical August minima average 12°C, so the outlook sits slightly above climatology, with resolution hinging on the final overnight low reported by official stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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