Recent ensemble forecasts from multiple models converge on overnight lows near 26–27°C for Karachi on August 29, consistent with late-August monsoon climatology where high humidity and frequent cloud cover limit radiative cooling. Westerly winds and dew points around 23–24°C further moderate temperature drops, while any light precipitation or increased cloudiness could suppress minima slightly or allow brief clearer spells to enhance cooling. With resolution imminent, traders weigh the narrow spread in guidance against historical variability—August minimums have ranged 26–29°C recently—creating balanced market-implied probabilities across mid-20s outcomes amid inherent model uncertainty in boundary-layer processes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Karachi on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Karachi on August 29?
31°C or higher 59%
21°C or below 57%
24°C 49%
25°C 49%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
21°C or below
57%
22°C
15%
23°C
47%
24°C
49%
25°C
49%
26°C
26%
27°C
26%
28°C
25%
29°C
49%
30°C
37%
31°C or higher
59%
31°C or higher 59%
21°C or below 57%
24°C 49%
25°C 49%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
21°C or below
$0 Vol.
57%
22°C
$0 Vol.
15%
23°C
$0 Vol.
47%
24°C
$0 Vol.
49%
25°C
$0 Vol.
49%
26°C
$0 Vol.
26%
27°C
$0 Vol.
26%
28°C
$0 Vol.
25%
29°C
$0 Vol.
49%
30°C
$0 Vol.
37%
31°C or higher
$0 Vol.
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from multiple models converge on overnight lows near 26–27°C for Karachi on August 29, consistent with late-August monsoon climatology where high humidity and frequent cloud cover limit radiative cooling. Westerly winds and dew points around 23–24°C further moderate temperature drops, while any light precipitation or increased cloudiness could suppress minima slightly or allow brief clearer spells to enhance cooling. With resolution imminent, traders weigh the narrow spread in guidance against historical variability—August minimums have ranged 26–29°C recently—creating balanced market-implied probabilities across mid-20s outcomes amid inherent model uncertainty in boundary-layer processes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from multiple models converge on overnight lows near 26–27°C for Karachi on August 29, consistent with late-August monsoon climatology where high humidity and frequent cloud cover limit radiative cooling. Westerly winds and dew points around 23–24°C further moderate temperature drops, while any light precipitation or increased cloudiness could suppress minima slightly or allow brief clearer spells to enhance cooling. With resolution imminent, traders weigh the narrow spread in guidance against historical variability—August minimums have ranged 26–29°C recently—creating balanced market-implied probabilities across mid-20s outcomes amid inherent model uncertainty in boundary-layer processes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from multiple models converge on overnight lows near 26–27°C for Karachi on August 29, consistent with late-August monsoon climatology where high humidity and frequent cloud cover limit radiative cooling. Westerly winds and dew points around 23–24°C further moderate temperature drops, while any light precipitation or increased cloudiness could suppress minima slightly or allow brief clearer spells to enhance cooling. With resolution imminent, traders weigh the narrow spread in guidance against historical variability—August minimums have ranged 26–29°C recently—creating balanced market-implied probabilities across mid-20s outcomes amid inherent model uncertainty in boundary-layer processes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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