**Trader sentiment for Manila's lowest temperature on August 24, 2026, centers on 27–28°C as the most likely minimum, reflecting official PAGASA guidance of a 27°C low under prevailing southwest monsoon (habagat) conditions.** Persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered rain showers moderate overnight radiative cooling in this tropical setting, keeping minimums elevated compared to drier periods. Historical August averages near 25°C provide context, but current monsoon-driven overcast skies and moisture typically raise the floor by 1–2°C. Model consensus and real-time observations support limited diurnal range, with morning readings around 28°C reinforcing expectations that the daily low will settle at or just above 27°C. Lower outcomes (25°C or below) carry reduced probability absent any unexpected clear-sky window or northerly flow, while probabilities above 29°C remain negligible given typical monsoon suppression of daytime peaks near 30°C. Updated agency briefings and hourly data releases through the evening will refine these market-implied odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Manila on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Manila on August 24?
23°C 38%
27°C 34%
26°C 34%
25°C 31%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
3%
23°C
38%
24°C
30%
25°C
31%
26°C
34%
27°C
34%
28°C
60%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
23°C 38%
27°C 34%
26°C 34%
25°C 31%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
21°C or below
$278 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$150 Vol.
3%
23°C
$119 Vol.
38%
24°C
$65 Vol.
30%
25°C
$65 Vol.
31%
26°C
$40 Vol.
34%
27°C
$0 Vol.
34%
28°C
$47 Vol.
60%
29°C
$561 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$444 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$312 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Manila's lowest temperature on August 24, 2026, centers on 27–28°C as the most likely minimum, reflecting official PAGASA guidance of a 27°C low under prevailing southwest monsoon (habagat) conditions.**
Persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered rain showers moderate overnight radiative cooling in this tropical setting, keeping minimums elevated compared to drier periods. Historical August averages near 25°C provide context, but current monsoon-driven overcast skies and moisture typically raise the floor by 1–2°C.
Model consensus and real-time observations support limited diurnal range, with morning readings around 28°C reinforcing expectations that the daily low will settle at or just above 27°C. Lower outcomes (25°C or below) carry reduced probability absent any unexpected clear-sky window or northerly flow, while probabilities above 29°C remain negligible given typical monsoon suppression of daytime peaks near 30°C. Updated agency briefings and hourly data releases through the evening will refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volume
$2,081End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Manila's lowest temperature on August 24, 2026, centers on 27–28°C as the most likely minimum, reflecting official PAGASA guidance of a 27°C low under prevailing southwest monsoon (habagat) conditions.**
Persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered rain showers moderate overnight radiative cooling in this tropical setting, keeping minimums elevated compared to drier periods. Historical August averages near 25°C provide context, but current monsoon-driven overcast skies and moisture typically raise the floor by 1–2°C.
Model consensus and real-time observations support limited diurnal range, with morning readings around 28°C reinforcing expectations that the daily low will settle at or just above 27°C. Lower outcomes (25°C or below) carry reduced probability absent any unexpected clear-sky window or northerly flow, while probabilities above 29°C remain negligible given typical monsoon suppression of daytime peaks near 30°C. Updated agency briefings and hourly data releases through the evening will refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,081End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Manila's lowest temperature on August 24, 2026, centers on 27–28°C as the most likely minimum, reflecting official PAGASA guidance of a 27°C low under prevailing southwest monsoon (habagat) conditions.** Persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered rain showers moderate overnight radiative cooling in this tropical setting, keeping minimums elevated compared to drier periods. Historical August averages near 25°C provide context, but current monsoon-driven overcast skies and moisture typically raise the floor by 1–2°C. Model consensus and real-time observations support limited diurnal range, with morning readings around 28°C reinforcing expectations that the daily low will settle at or just above 27°C. Lower outcomes (25°C or below) carry reduced probability absent any unexpected clear-sky window or northerly flow, while probabilities above 29°C remain negligible given typical monsoon suppression of daytime peaks near 30°C. Updated agency briefings and hourly data releases through the evening will refine these market-implied odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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