Recent forecasts for Wuhan on September 17 indicate a low around 17–20°C amid widespread rain and thunderstorms driven by northeasterly flow, with model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles pointing to suppressed daytime heating and evaporative cooling from heavy precipitation. This setup favors temperatures near or slightly below the long-term September average low of roughly 20–21°C, as persistent cloud cover and moisture limit radiational warming overnight. Trader sentiment remains balanced between cooler and warmer extremes because short-range models still show modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind strength, with final resolution depending on official station measurements that capture the precise minimum. New model runs and observational updates through the evening of September 16 will likely narrow the range ahead of market close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Wuhan on September 17?
Lowest temperature in Wuhan on September 17?
24°C or higher 92%
14°C or below 90%
19°C 47%
18°C 44%
NEW
NEW
Sep 17, 2026
14°C or below
90%
15°C
18%
16°C
6%
17°C
40%
18°C
26%
19°C
27%
20°C
22%
21°C
40%
22°C
40%
23°C
18%
24°C or higher
92%
24°C or higher 92%
14°C or below 90%
19°C 47%
18°C 44%
NEW
NEW
Sep 17, 2026
14°C or below
$0 Vol.
90%
15°C
$0 Vol.
18%
16°C
$0 Vol.
6%
17°C
$0 Vol.
40%
18°C
$10 Vol.
26%
19°C
$16 Vol.
27%
20°C
$0 Vol.
22%
21°C
$0 Vol.
40%
22°C
$0 Vol.
40%
23°C
$0 Vol.
18%
24°C or higher
$0 Vol.
92%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Wuhan on September 17 indicate a low around 17–20°C amid widespread rain and thunderstorms driven by northeasterly flow, with model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles pointing to suppressed daytime heating and evaporative cooling from heavy precipitation. This setup favors temperatures near or slightly below the long-term September average low of roughly 20–21°C, as persistent cloud cover and moisture limit radiational warming overnight. Trader sentiment remains balanced between cooler and warmer extremes because short-range models still show modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind strength, with final resolution depending on official station measurements that capture the precise minimum. New model runs and observational updates through the evening of September 16 will likely narrow the range ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$26End Date
Sep 17, 2026Market Opened
Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Wuhan on September 17 indicate a low around 17–20°C amid widespread rain and thunderstorms driven by northeasterly flow, with model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles pointing to suppressed daytime heating and evaporative cooling from heavy precipitation. This setup favors temperatures near or slightly below the long-term September average low of roughly 20–21°C, as persistent cloud cover and moisture limit radiational warming overnight. Trader sentiment remains balanced between cooler and warmer extremes because short-range models still show modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind strength, with final resolution depending on official station measurements that capture the precise minimum. New model runs and observational updates through the evening of September 16 will likely narrow the range ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$26End Date
Sep 17, 2026Market Opened
Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Wuhan on September 17 indicate a low around 17–20°C amid widespread rain and thunderstorms driven by northeasterly flow, with model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles pointing to suppressed daytime heating and evaporative cooling from heavy precipitation. This setup favors temperatures near or slightly below the long-term September average low of roughly 20–21°C, as persistent cloud cover and moisture limit radiational warming overnight. Trader sentiment remains balanced between cooler and warmer extremes because short-range models still show modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind strength, with final resolution depending on official station measurements that capture the precise minimum. New model runs and observational updates through the evening of September 16 will likely narrow the range ahead of market close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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