Persistent subtropical ridging over the southeastern U.S. is sustaining above-normal temperatures across North Texas, with south-southeast winds around 5 mph, mostly sunny skies, and minimal moisture limiting afternoon cooling for September 17. Official NWS guidance and ensemble models indicate a high near 99–101°F, consistent with recent observations showing daily maxima 8–12°F above September climatology under similar ridge patterns. Heat indices may reach 105–106°F, though the official maximum depends on exact station readings and any late-day cloud increases. Trader consensus heavily favors the 98–99°F bin as the most probable outcome given model agreement and historical analogs for late-summer heat in the region, with limited upside risk from forecast revisions before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Dallas on September 17?
Highest temperature in Dallas on September 17?
98-99°F 65%
96-97°F 22%
100-101°F 11%
92-93°F 2%
NEW
NEW
Sep 17, 2026
89°F or below
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
22%
98-99°F
65%
100-101°F
11%
102-103°F
2%
104-105°F
2%
106-107°F
1%
108°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 65%
96-97°F 22%
100-101°F 11%
92-93°F 2%
NEW
NEW
Sep 17, 2026
89°F or below
$121 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$121 Vol.
1%
92-93°F
$50 Vol.
2%
94-95°F
$301 Vol.
2%
96-97°F
$3,273 Vol.
22%
98-99°F
$1,279 Vol.
65%
100-101°F
$1,125 Vol.
11%
102-103°F
$301 Vol.
2%
104-105°F
$40 Vol.
2%
106-107°F
$121 Vol.
1%
108°F or higher
$121 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent subtropical ridging over the southeastern U.S. is sustaining above-normal temperatures across North Texas, with south-southeast winds around 5 mph, mostly sunny skies, and minimal moisture limiting afternoon cooling for September 17. Official NWS guidance and ensemble models indicate a high near 99–101°F, consistent with recent observations showing daily maxima 8–12°F above September climatology under similar ridge patterns. Heat indices may reach 105–106°F, though the official maximum depends on exact station readings and any late-day cloud increases. Trader consensus heavily favors the 98–99°F bin as the most probable outcome given model agreement and historical analogs for late-summer heat in the region, with limited upside risk from forecast revisions before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 15, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Volume
$6,855End Date
Sep 17, 2026Market Opened
Sep 15, 2026, 2:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent subtropical ridging over the southeastern U.S. is sustaining above-normal temperatures across North Texas, with south-southeast winds around 5 mph, mostly sunny skies, and minimal moisture limiting afternoon cooling for September 17. Official NWS guidance and ensemble models indicate a high near 99–101°F, consistent with recent observations showing daily maxima 8–12°F above September climatology under similar ridge patterns. Heat indices may reach 105–106°F, though the official maximum depends on exact station readings and any late-day cloud increases. Trader consensus heavily favors the 98–99°F bin as the most probable outcome given model agreement and historical analogs for late-summer heat in the region, with limited upside risk from forecast revisions before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,855End Date
Sep 17, 2026Market Opened
Sep 15, 2026, 2:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent subtropical ridging over the southeastern U.S. is sustaining above-normal temperatures across North Texas, with south-southeast winds around 5 mph, mostly sunny skies, and minimal moisture limiting afternoon cooling for September 17. Official NWS guidance and ensemble models indicate a high near 99–101°F, consistent with recent observations showing daily maxima 8–12°F above September climatology under similar ridge patterns. Heat indices may reach 105–106°F, though the official maximum depends on exact station readings and any late-day cloud increases. Trader consensus heavily favors the 98–99°F bin as the most probable outcome given model agreement and historical analogs for late-summer heat in the region, with limited upside risk from forecast revisions before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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