Recent numerical weather prediction runs from ECMWF and GFS ensembles indicate a peak temperature of 31–33 °C in Tel Aviv on August 29 under partly cloudy skies with moderate southwesterly flow and low precipitation risk, positioning 33 °C as the leading market-implied outcome at 64 %. These conditions reflect typical late-summer Mediterranean patterns without anomalous heat advection or subsidence strengthening, though modest model spread around afternoon maxima supports the 22.5 % implied probability on 34 °C. Official Israel Meteorological Service observations, expected after sunset, will determine resolution; traders appear to weigh the consensus central tendency against residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and local sea-breeze effects.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 29?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 29?
33°C 64%
34°C 22%
32°C 12%
31°C 2%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
29°C or below
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
12%
33°C
64%
34°C
22%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 64%
34°C 22%
32°C 12%
31°C 2%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
29°C or below
$218 Vol.
1%
30°C
$49 Vol.
1%
31°C
$556 Vol.
2%
32°C
$725 Vol.
12%
33°C
$1,337 Vol.
64%
34°C
$1,383 Vol.
22%
35°C
$342 Vol.
1%
36°C
$151 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$179 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$355 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$221 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction runs from ECMWF and GFS ensembles indicate a peak temperature of 31–33 °C in Tel Aviv on August 29 under partly cloudy skies with moderate southwesterly flow and low precipitation risk, positioning 33 °C as the leading market-implied outcome at 64 %. These conditions reflect typical late-summer Mediterranean patterns without anomalous heat advection or subsidence strengthening, though modest model spread around afternoon maxima supports the 22.5 % implied probability on 34 °C. Official Israel Meteorological Service observations, expected after sunset, will determine resolution; traders appear to weigh the consensus central tendency against residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and local sea-breeze effects.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$5,518End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction runs from ECMWF and GFS ensembles indicate a peak temperature of 31–33 °C in Tel Aviv on August 29 under partly cloudy skies with moderate southwesterly flow and low precipitation risk, positioning 33 °C as the leading market-implied outcome at 64 %. These conditions reflect typical late-summer Mediterranean patterns without anomalous heat advection or subsidence strengthening, though modest model spread around afternoon maxima supports the 22.5 % implied probability on 34 °C. Official Israel Meteorological Service observations, expected after sunset, will determine resolution; traders appear to weigh the consensus central tendency against residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and local sea-breeze effects.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,518End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction runs from ECMWF and GFS ensembles indicate a peak temperature of 31–33 °C in Tel Aviv on August 29 under partly cloudy skies with moderate southwesterly flow and low precipitation risk, positioning 33 °C as the leading market-implied outcome at 64 %. These conditions reflect typical late-summer Mediterranean patterns without anomalous heat advection or subsidence strengthening, though modest model spread around afternoon maxima supports the 22.5 % implied probability on 34 °C. Official Israel Meteorological Service observations, expected after sunset, will determine resolution; traders appear to weigh the consensus central tendency against residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and local sea-breeze effects.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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