Recent Met Office guidance and supporting model runs indicate a daytime maximum near 24°C for London on August 28, driven by a transition to southwest winds advecting milder Atlantic air after Thursday’s thundery showers. Partly cloudy conditions with intermittent sunny intervals will permit moderate solar heating, while elevated humidity and scattered showers could cap peaks. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 23–24°C because small differences in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing can shift the daily high by 1°C. A 25°C+ outcome remains possible only if stronger insolation develops, but prevailing flow and recent cooling trend make that less probable. Updated forecast guidance expected later today could refine these thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in London on August 28?
Highest temperature in London on August 28?
24°C 36%
23°C 34%
25°C or higher 15%
22°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
3%
21°C
5%
22°C
13%
23°C
34%
24°C
36%
25°C or higher
15%
24°C 36%
23°C 34%
25°C or higher 15%
22°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
15°C or below
$289 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$215 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$205 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$44 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$220 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$305 Vol.
3%
21°C
$636 Vol.
5%
22°C
$872 Vol.
13%
23°C
$1,133 Vol.
34%
24°C
$1,182 Vol.
36%
25°C or higher
$816 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and supporting model runs indicate a daytime maximum near 24°C for London on August 28, driven by a transition to southwest winds advecting milder Atlantic air after Thursday’s thundery showers. Partly cloudy conditions with intermittent sunny intervals will permit moderate solar heating, while elevated humidity and scattered showers could cap peaks. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 23–24°C because small differences in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing can shift the daily high by 1°C. A 25°C+ outcome remains possible only if stronger insolation develops, but prevailing flow and recent cooling trend make that less probable. Updated forecast guidance expected later today could refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$5,915End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and supporting model runs indicate a daytime maximum near 24°C for London on August 28, driven by a transition to southwest winds advecting milder Atlantic air after Thursday’s thundery showers. Partly cloudy conditions with intermittent sunny intervals will permit moderate solar heating, while elevated humidity and scattered showers could cap peaks. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 23–24°C because small differences in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing can shift the daily high by 1°C. A 25°C+ outcome remains possible only if stronger insolation develops, but prevailing flow and recent cooling trend make that less probable. Updated forecast guidance expected later today could refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,915End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance and supporting model runs indicate a daytime maximum near 24°C for London on August 28, driven by a transition to southwest winds advecting milder Atlantic air after Thursday’s thundery showers. Partly cloudy conditions with intermittent sunny intervals will permit moderate solar heating, while elevated humidity and scattered showers could cap peaks. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 23–24°C because small differences in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing can shift the daily high by 1°C. A 25°C+ outcome remains possible only if stronger insolation develops, but prevailing flow and recent cooling trend make that less probable. Updated forecast guidance expected later today could refine these thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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