Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate minimum temperatures in Tel Aviv on August 29 will likely fall between 23–26°C, aligning closely with the tightly clustered market-implied probabilities for those outcomes. Persistent summer conditions—warm Mediterranean Sea surface temperatures near 29°C, light variable winds, and moderate humidity—limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows elevated compared to inland areas. Subtle differences among leading probabilities hinge on small forecast variations in cloud cover, wind speed, and dew point, which influence how much heat escapes overnight. Stable high-pressure patterns and the absence of incoming weather systems support consistency with historical late-August averages around 23–25°C, with model consensus showing low volatility ahead of the resolution window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 29?
26°C 49%
25°C 26%
28°C or higher 26%
23°C 25%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
18°C or below
6%
19°C
3%
20°C
25%
21°C
8%
22°C
10%
23°C
25%
24°C
26%
25°C
26%
26°C
49%
27°C
18%
28°C or higher
26%
26°C 49%
25°C 26%
28°C or higher 26%
23°C 25%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
18°C or below
$5 Vol.
6%
19°C
$135 Vol.
3%
20°C
$5 Vol.
25%
21°C
$57 Vol.
8%
22°C
$26 Vol.
10%
23°C
$46 Vol.
25%
24°C
$37 Vol.
26%
25°C
$37 Vol.
26%
26°C
$36 Vol.
49%
27°C
$10 Vol.
18%
28°C or higher
$5 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate minimum temperatures in Tel Aviv on August 29 will likely fall between 23–26°C, aligning closely with the tightly clustered market-implied probabilities for those outcomes. Persistent summer conditions—warm Mediterranean Sea surface temperatures near 29°C, light variable winds, and moderate humidity—limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows elevated compared to inland areas. Subtle differences among leading probabilities hinge on small forecast variations in cloud cover, wind speed, and dew point, which influence how much heat escapes overnight. Stable high-pressure patterns and the absence of incoming weather systems support consistency with historical late-August averages around 23–25°C, with model consensus showing low volatility ahead of the resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$400End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate minimum temperatures in Tel Aviv on August 29 will likely fall between 23–26°C, aligning closely with the tightly clustered market-implied probabilities for those outcomes. Persistent summer conditions—warm Mediterranean Sea surface temperatures near 29°C, light variable winds, and moderate humidity—limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows elevated compared to inland areas. Subtle differences among leading probabilities hinge on small forecast variations in cloud cover, wind speed, and dew point, which influence how much heat escapes overnight. Stable high-pressure patterns and the absence of incoming weather systems support consistency with historical late-August averages around 23–25°C, with model consensus showing low volatility ahead of the resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$400End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate minimum temperatures in Tel Aviv on August 29 will likely fall between 23–26°C, aligning closely with the tightly clustered market-implied probabilities for those outcomes. Persistent summer conditions—warm Mediterranean Sea surface temperatures near 29°C, light variable winds, and moderate humidity—limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows elevated compared to inland areas. Subtle differences among leading probabilities hinge on small forecast variations in cloud cover, wind speed, and dew point, which influence how much heat escapes overnight. Stable high-pressure patterns and the absence of incoming weather systems support consistency with historical late-August averages around 23–25°C, with model consensus showing low volatility ahead of the resolution window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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