**Market-implied odds strongly favor 25°C as the overnight minimum in Tel Aviv on August 28, 2026 (59.5%), consistent with official and model forecasts showing lows of 24–26°C.** Multiple sources, including Israeli Meteorological Service data and global models, project an early-morning low near 25°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light southerly or westerly winds (2–5 m/s), and high humidity (80–90%) that limits radiative cooling. Coastal location moderates extremes via sea-breeze effects and the Mediterranean’s thermal inertia, keeping overnight drops modest compared to inland areas. **Recent conditions show stable late-summer patterns with no significant synoptic changes or cooling intrusions.** Daytime highs reached 30–32°C, but the diurnal range aligns with climatological norms for late August (historical minimums near 24–25°C). No major model disagreements or sudden shifts appear in current runs; probabilities for cooler outcomes like 22°C (31.5%) reflect residual uncertainty in exact timing of the minimum or micro-scale variations, while warmer or much colder results remain negligible due to the absence of atypical heat or cold advection. Traders are weighting the consensus forecast heavily as resolution nears.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 28?
22°C 60%
21°C 6%
24°C 1%
20°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
6%
22°C
60%
23°C
-
24°C
20%
25°C
60%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
22°C 60%
21°C 6%
24°C 1%
20°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
19°C or below
$1,107 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$415 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$81 Vol.
6%
22°C
$77 Vol.
60%
23°C
$43 Vol.
-
24°C
$80 Vol.
20%
25°C
$191 Vol.
60%
26°C
$106 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$100 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$278 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$265 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds strongly favor 25°C as the overnight minimum in Tel Aviv on August 28, 2026 (59.5%), consistent with official and model forecasts showing lows of 24–26°C.** Multiple sources, including Israeli Meteorological Service data and global models, project an early-morning low near 25°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light southerly or westerly winds (2–5 m/s), and high humidity (80–90%) that limits radiative cooling. Coastal location moderates extremes via sea-breeze effects and the Mediterranean’s thermal inertia, keeping overnight drops modest compared to inland areas.
**Recent conditions show stable late-summer patterns with no significant synoptic changes or cooling intrusions.** Daytime highs reached 30–32°C, but the diurnal range aligns with climatological norms for late August (historical minimums near 24–25°C). No major model disagreements or sudden shifts appear in current runs; probabilities for cooler outcomes like 22°C (31.5%) reflect residual uncertainty in exact timing of the minimum or micro-scale variations, while warmer or much colder results remain negligible due to the absence of atypical heat or cold advection. Traders are weighting the consensus forecast heavily as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$2,743End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds strongly favor 25°C as the overnight minimum in Tel Aviv on August 28, 2026 (59.5%), consistent with official and model forecasts showing lows of 24–26°C.** Multiple sources, including Israeli Meteorological Service data and global models, project an early-morning low near 25°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light southerly or westerly winds (2–5 m/s), and high humidity (80–90%) that limits radiative cooling. Coastal location moderates extremes via sea-breeze effects and the Mediterranean’s thermal inertia, keeping overnight drops modest compared to inland areas.
**Recent conditions show stable late-summer patterns with no significant synoptic changes or cooling intrusions.** Daytime highs reached 30–32°C, but the diurnal range aligns with climatological norms for late August (historical minimums near 24–25°C). No major model disagreements or sudden shifts appear in current runs; probabilities for cooler outcomes like 22°C (31.5%) reflect residual uncertainty in exact timing of the minimum or micro-scale variations, while warmer or much colder results remain negligible due to the absence of atypical heat or cold advection. Traders are weighting the consensus forecast heavily as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,743End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Market-implied odds strongly favor 25°C as the overnight minimum in Tel Aviv on August 28, 2026 (59.5%), consistent with official and model forecasts showing lows of 24–26°C.** Multiple sources, including Israeli Meteorological Service data and global models, project an early-morning low near 25°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light southerly or westerly winds (2–5 m/s), and high humidity (80–90%) that limits radiative cooling. Coastal location moderates extremes via sea-breeze effects and the Mediterranean’s thermal inertia, keeping overnight drops modest compared to inland areas. **Recent conditions show stable late-summer patterns with no significant synoptic changes or cooling intrusions.** Daytime highs reached 30–32°C, but the diurnal range aligns with climatological norms for late August (historical minimums near 24–25°C). No major model disagreements or sudden shifts appear in current runs; probabilities for cooler outcomes like 22°C (31.5%) reflect residual uncertainty in exact timing of the minimum or micro-scale variations, while warmer or much colder results remain negligible due to the absence of atypical heat or cold advection. Traders are weighting the consensus forecast heavily as resolution nears.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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