**Forecast models from sources like the Israeli Meteorological Service, ECMWF, GFS, and regional agencies show nighttime lows in Tel Aviv on August 30 centered around 24–27°C, with hourly guidance indicating a potential dip near 23–25°C during pre-dawn hours amid scattered showers.** A weak Mediterranean disturbance is expected to increase cloud cover and humidity, moderating radiative cooling compared to clearer nights earlier in the week, while persistent westerly sea breezes from the Mediterranean help maintain temperatures close to seasonal norms. Historical late-August climatology places typical overnight minima near 24–25°C, but model spread in precipitation timing and intensity creates uncertainty between sub-24°C and mid-27°C outcomes. This genuine variability in short-range guidance—rather than any single recent event—explains the closely matched market probabilities across the 20–28°C range. Updated model runs and official Israel Meteorological Service briefings over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 30?
26°C 50%
27°C 50%
20°C or below 49%
22°C 49%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
20°C or below
49%
21°C
47%
22°C
49%
23°C
49%
24°C
24%
25°C
25%
26°C
50%
27°C
50%
28°C
46%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
48%
26°C 50%
27°C 50%
20°C or below 49%
22°C 49%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
20°C or below
$5 Vol.
49%
21°C
$0 Vol.
47%
22°C
$4 Vol.
49%
23°C
$4 Vol.
49%
24°C
$0 Vol.
24%
25°C
$2 Vol.
25%
26°C
$0 Vol.
50%
27°C
$0 Vol.
50%
28°C
$0 Vol.
46%
29°C
$5 Vol.
2%
30°C or higher
$5 Vol.
48%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources like the Israeli Meteorological Service, ECMWF, GFS, and regional agencies show nighttime lows in Tel Aviv on August 30 centered around 24–27°C, with hourly guidance indicating a potential dip near 23–25°C during pre-dawn hours amid scattered showers.**
A weak Mediterranean disturbance is expected to increase cloud cover and humidity, moderating radiative cooling compared to clearer nights earlier in the week, while persistent westerly sea breezes from the Mediterranean help maintain temperatures close to seasonal norms. Historical late-August climatology places typical overnight minima near 24–25°C, but model spread in precipitation timing and intensity creates uncertainty between sub-24°C and mid-27°C outcomes. This genuine variability in short-range guidance—rather than any single recent event—explains the closely matched market probabilities across the 20–28°C range. Updated model runs and official Israel Meteorological Service briefings over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$25End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources like the Israeli Meteorological Service, ECMWF, GFS, and regional agencies show nighttime lows in Tel Aviv on August 30 centered around 24–27°C, with hourly guidance indicating a potential dip near 23–25°C during pre-dawn hours amid scattered showers.**
A weak Mediterranean disturbance is expected to increase cloud cover and humidity, moderating radiative cooling compared to clearer nights earlier in the week, while persistent westerly sea breezes from the Mediterranean help maintain temperatures close to seasonal norms. Historical late-August climatology places typical overnight minima near 24–25°C, but model spread in precipitation timing and intensity creates uncertainty between sub-24°C and mid-27°C outcomes. This genuine variability in short-range guidance—rather than any single recent event—explains the closely matched market probabilities across the 20–28°C range. Updated model runs and official Israel Meteorological Service briefings over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$25End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources like the Israeli Meteorological Service, ECMWF, GFS, and regional agencies show nighttime lows in Tel Aviv on August 30 centered around 24–27°C, with hourly guidance indicating a potential dip near 23–25°C during pre-dawn hours amid scattered showers.** A weak Mediterranean disturbance is expected to increase cloud cover and humidity, moderating radiative cooling compared to clearer nights earlier in the week, while persistent westerly sea breezes from the Mediterranean help maintain temperatures close to seasonal norms. Historical late-August climatology places typical overnight minima near 24–25°C, but model spread in precipitation timing and intensity creates uncertainty between sub-24°C and mid-27°C outcomes. This genuine variability in short-range guidance—rather than any single recent event—explains the closely matched market probabilities across the 20–28°C range. Updated model runs and official Israel Meteorological Service briefings over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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