**Forecast consensus places Wuhan's September 18 high near 25°C, with trader odds reflecting narrow model spreads around 24–26°C.** Multiple sources, including WeatherBug, AccuWeather, Yr.no, and Chinese meteorological outlets, project a daytime maximum of 24–25°C under mostly cloudy skies with a 45–70% chance of light rain or showers. This follows a cooler, wetter Thursday (highs near 22–23°C) as a northeast flow brings moisture and limits daytime heating. Key differentiating factors include the exact timing and intensity of any showers, which can suppress peak temperatures by 1–2°C if they occur midday, versus brief clearing that allows brief warming toward 26°C. Humidity levels near 80% and light northeast winds further moderate extremes, while climatological norms for mid-September in Wuhan (around 28°C) are tempered by the current synoptic pattern. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance in the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the range before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on September 18?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on September 18?
25°C 29%
24°C 24%
26°C 22%
27°C 16%
NEW
NEW
Sep 18, 2026
20°C or below
3%
21°C
7%
22°C
13%
23°C
10%
24°C
24%
25°C
32%
26°C
22%
27°C
16%
28°C
5%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 29%
24°C 24%
26°C 22%
27°C 16%
NEW
NEW
Sep 18, 2026
20°C or below
$0 Vol.
3%
21°C
$0 Vol.
7%
22°C
$172 Vol.
13%
23°C
$0 Vol.
10%
24°C
$0 Vol.
24%
25°C
$0 Vol.
32%
26°C
$0 Vol.
22%
27°C
$5 Vol.
16%
28°C
$0 Vol.
5%
29°C
$103 Vol.
1%
30°C or higher
$53 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus places Wuhan's September 18 high near 25°C, with trader odds reflecting narrow model spreads around 24–26°C.** Multiple sources, including WeatherBug, AccuWeather, Yr.no, and Chinese meteorological outlets, project a daytime maximum of 24–25°C under mostly cloudy skies with a 45–70% chance of light rain or showers. This follows a cooler, wetter Thursday (highs near 22–23°C) as a northeast flow brings moisture and limits daytime heating.
Key differentiating factors include the exact timing and intensity of any showers, which can suppress peak temperatures by 1–2°C if they occur midday, versus brief clearing that allows brief warming toward 26°C. Humidity levels near 80% and light northeast winds further moderate extremes, while climatological norms for mid-September in Wuhan (around 28°C) are tempered by the current synoptic pattern. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance in the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$333End Date
Sep 18, 2026Market Opened
Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus places Wuhan's September 18 high near 25°C, with trader odds reflecting narrow model spreads around 24–26°C.** Multiple sources, including WeatherBug, AccuWeather, Yr.no, and Chinese meteorological outlets, project a daytime maximum of 24–25°C under mostly cloudy skies with a 45–70% chance of light rain or showers. This follows a cooler, wetter Thursday (highs near 22–23°C) as a northeast flow brings moisture and limits daytime heating.
Key differentiating factors include the exact timing and intensity of any showers, which can suppress peak temperatures by 1–2°C if they occur midday, versus brief clearing that allows brief warming toward 26°C. Humidity levels near 80% and light northeast winds further moderate extremes, while climatological norms for mid-September in Wuhan (around 28°C) are tempered by the current synoptic pattern. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance in the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$333End Date
Sep 18, 2026Market Opened
Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus places Wuhan's September 18 high near 25°C, with trader odds reflecting narrow model spreads around 24–26°C.** Multiple sources, including WeatherBug, AccuWeather, Yr.no, and Chinese meteorological outlets, project a daytime maximum of 24–25°C under mostly cloudy skies with a 45–70% chance of light rain or showers. This follows a cooler, wetter Thursday (highs near 22–23°C) as a northeast flow brings moisture and limits daytime heating. Key differentiating factors include the exact timing and intensity of any showers, which can suppress peak temperatures by 1–2°C if they occur midday, versus brief clearing that allows brief warming toward 26°C. Humidity levels near 80% and light northeast winds further moderate extremes, while climatological norms for mid-September in Wuhan (around 28°C) are tempered by the current synoptic pattern. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance in the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the range before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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