Persistent warm air advection from the south and mostly clear skies under a strong high-pressure ridge are keeping overnight temperatures elevated across Dallas, with official National Weather Service forecasts calling for a low near 80°F. This setup limits radiational cooling, as dew points in the upper 60s sustain high humidity and prevent sharper drops, while light southeast winds further moderate the minimum. Traders’ near-even odds between the 78–83°F bins reflect minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind speeds overnight; a slightly stronger breeze or brief cloud cover could trim the low into the upper 70s, while calmer conditions would favor the low 80s. Historical September averages near 70°F underscore how unusual the current heat dome remains.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Dallas on September 16?
Lowest temperature in Dallas on September 16?
71°F or below 100%
76-77°F 92%
82-83°F 52%
78-79°F 51%
$474 Vol.
$474 Vol.
Sep 16, 2026
71°F or below
100%
72-73°F
18%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
92%
78-79°F
51%
80-81°F
50%
82-83°F
52%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
71°F or below 100%
76-77°F 92%
82-83°F 52%
78-79°F 51%
$474 Vol.
$474 Vol.
Sep 16, 2026
71°F or below
$0 Vol.
100%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
18%
74-75°F
$272 Vol.
1%
76-77°F
$158 Vol.
92%
78-79°F
$5 Vol.
51%
80-81°F
$3 Vol.
50%
82-83°F
$6 Vol.
52%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$30 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$0 Vol.
<1%
90°F or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent warm air advection from the south and mostly clear skies under a strong high-pressure ridge are keeping overnight temperatures elevated across Dallas, with official National Weather Service forecasts calling for a low near 80°F. This setup limits radiational cooling, as dew points in the upper 60s sustain high humidity and prevent sharper drops, while light southeast winds further moderate the minimum. Traders’ near-even odds between the 78–83°F bins reflect minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind speeds overnight; a slightly stronger breeze or brief cloud cover could trim the low into the upper 70s, while calmer conditions would favor the low 80s. Historical September averages near 70°F underscore how unusual the current heat dome remains.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 14, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$474End Date
Sep 16, 2026Market Opened
Sep 14, 2026, 3:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent warm air advection from the south and mostly clear skies under a strong high-pressure ridge are keeping overnight temperatures elevated across Dallas, with official National Weather Service forecasts calling for a low near 80°F. This setup limits radiational cooling, as dew points in the upper 60s sustain high humidity and prevent sharper drops, while light southeast winds further moderate the minimum. Traders’ near-even odds between the 78–83°F bins reflect minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind speeds overnight; a slightly stronger breeze or brief cloud cover could trim the low into the upper 70s, while calmer conditions would favor the low 80s. Historical September averages near 70°F underscore how unusual the current heat dome remains.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$474End Date
Sep 16, 2026Market Opened
Sep 14, 2026, 3:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent warm air advection from the south and mostly clear skies under a strong high-pressure ridge are keeping overnight temperatures elevated across Dallas, with official National Weather Service forecasts calling for a low near 80°F. This setup limits radiational cooling, as dew points in the upper 60s sustain high humidity and prevent sharper drops, while light southeast winds further moderate the minimum. Traders’ near-even odds between the 78–83°F bins reflect minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind speeds overnight; a slightly stronger breeze or brief cloud cover could trim the low into the upper 70s, while calmer conditions would favor the low 80s. Historical September averages near 70°F underscore how unusual the current heat dome remains.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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