Forecast models from sources including GFS and local Turkish meteorological services indicate a stable overnight minimum of 22–23°C for Istanbul on August 24, driven by clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and typical late-summer radiative cooling under high pressure. Recent observations show early-morning readings near 23°C with dew points supporting limited further drop, while urban and maritime influences moderate extremes compared to inland areas. This consensus underpins the strong market weighting toward 23°C and 22°C outcomes, with lower probabilities for 19°C or below reflecting the absence of cold-air advection or cloud cover that could enhance cooling. Updated forecasts through the day will refine exact resolution as the 24-hour minimum is confirmed.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Istanbul on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Istanbul on August 24?
19°C 64%
18°C or below 41%
20°C 35%
24°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
18°C or below
41%
19°C
64%
20°C
35%
21°C
-
22°C
34%
23°C
61%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
19°C 64%
18°C or below 41%
20°C 35%
24°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
18°C or below
$54 Vol.
41%
19°C
$38 Vol.
64%
20°C
$77 Vol.
35%
21°C
$82 Vol.
-
22°C
$5 Vol.
34%
23°C
$65 Vol.
61%
24°C
$533 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$195 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$195 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$267 Vol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$260 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including GFS and local Turkish meteorological services indicate a stable overnight minimum of 22–23°C for Istanbul on August 24, driven by clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and typical late-summer radiative cooling under high pressure. Recent observations show early-morning readings near 23°C with dew points supporting limited further drop, while urban and maritime influences moderate extremes compared to inland areas. This consensus underpins the strong market weighting toward 23°C and 22°C outcomes, with lower probabilities for 19°C or below reflecting the absence of cold-air advection or cloud cover that could enhance cooling. Updated forecasts through the day will refine exact resolution as the 24-hour minimum is confirmed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ET
Volume
$1,772End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including GFS and local Turkish meteorological services indicate a stable overnight minimum of 22–23°C for Istanbul on August 24, driven by clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and typical late-summer radiative cooling under high pressure. Recent observations show early-morning readings near 23°C with dew points supporting limited further drop, while urban and maritime influences moderate extremes compared to inland areas. This consensus underpins the strong market weighting toward 23°C and 22°C outcomes, with lower probabilities for 19°C or below reflecting the absence of cold-air advection or cloud cover that could enhance cooling. Updated forecasts through the day will refine exact resolution as the 24-hour minimum is confirmed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,772End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including GFS and local Turkish meteorological services indicate a stable overnight minimum of 22–23°C for Istanbul on August 24, driven by clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and typical late-summer radiative cooling under high pressure. Recent observations show early-morning readings near 23°C with dew points supporting limited further drop, while urban and maritime influences moderate extremes compared to inland areas. This consensus underpins the strong market weighting toward 23°C and 22°C outcomes, with lower probabilities for 19°C or below reflecting the absence of cold-air advection or cloud cover that could enhance cooling. Updated forecasts through the day will refine exact resolution as the 24-hour minimum is confirmed.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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