**Current forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows near 30–32°C for Jeddah on August 30, consistent with the month’s elevated temperatures (roughly +2°C above the long-term August mean of ~28°C).** Persistent high pressure, Red Sea sea-surface temperatures around 31°C, and light northerly winds limit radiative cooling overnight, keeping minimums well above the 25°C threshold despite high humidity. Recent station data through late August show nightly lows rarely dipping below 28–29°C, supporting market-implied odds clustered around 30–31°C while the elevated probability on 25°C or below reflects residual model uncertainty and potential for localized sea-breeze effects. Updated NHC-style regional guidance and next-day observational reports will refine these near-term probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Jeddah on August 30?
25°C or below 94%
28°C 50%
29°C 50%
32°C 50%
25°C or below
94%
26°C
45%
27°C
45%
28°C
50%
29°C
50%
30°C
26%
31°C
26%
32°C
50%
33°C
50%
34°C
50%
35°C or higher
2%
25°C or below 94%
28°C 50%
29°C 50%
32°C 50%
25°C or below
94%
26°C
45%
27°C
45%
28°C
50%
29°C
50%
30°C
26%
31°C
26%
32°C
50%
33°C
50%
34°C
50%
35°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows near 30–32°C for Jeddah on August 30, consistent with the month’s elevated temperatures (roughly +2°C above the long-term August mean of ~28°C).** Persistent high pressure, Red Sea sea-surface temperatures around 31°C, and light northerly winds limit radiative cooling overnight, keeping minimums well above the 25°C threshold despite high humidity. Recent station data through late August show nightly lows rarely dipping below 28–29°C, supporting market-implied odds clustered around 30–31°C while the elevated probability on 25°C or below reflects residual model uncertainty and potential for localized sea-breeze effects. Updated NHC-style regional guidance and next-day observational reports will refine these near-term probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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