Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate an overnight low in the mid- to upper 60s for Los Angeles on September 16, driven by a persistent marine layer with patchy drizzle and onshore flow that limits radiational cooling. This aligns with historical September averages near 64°F and recent observations showing similar mild nights amid above-normal daytime highs. Trader emphasis on the 66–69°F brackets reflects model consensus on these conditions, while residual probability on cooler thresholds accounts for potential variations in fog thickness or wind patterns that could enhance cooling before dawn. Updated NWS guidance and local station data releases will provide the final resolution criteria for the daily minimum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Los Angeles on September 16?
Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on September 16?
57°F or below 94%
62-63°F 48%
64-65°F 40%
60-61°F 12%
$892 Vol.
$892 Vol.
Sep 16, 2026
57°F or below
94%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
12%
62-63°F
48%
64-65°F
27%
66-67°F
53%
68-69°F
67%
70-71°F
47%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76°F or higher
<1%
57°F or below 94%
62-63°F 48%
64-65°F 40%
60-61°F 12%
$892 Vol.
$892 Vol.
Sep 16, 2026
57°F or below
$0 Vol.
94%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
1%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
12%
62-63°F
$1 Vol.
48%
64-65°F
$9 Vol.
27%
66-67°F
$439 Vol.
53%
68-69°F
$135 Vol.
67%
70-71°F
$308 Vol.
47%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
<1%
76°F or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate an overnight low in the mid- to upper 60s for Los Angeles on September 16, driven by a persistent marine layer with patchy drizzle and onshore flow that limits radiational cooling. This aligns with historical September averages near 64°F and recent observations showing similar mild nights amid above-normal daytime highs. Trader emphasis on the 66–69°F brackets reflects model consensus on these conditions, while residual probability on cooler thresholds accounts for potential variations in fog thickness or wind patterns that could enhance cooling before dawn. Updated NWS guidance and local station data releases will provide the final resolution criteria for the daily minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 14, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Volume
$892End Date
Sep 16, 2026Market Opened
Sep 14, 2026, 7:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate an overnight low in the mid- to upper 60s for Los Angeles on September 16, driven by a persistent marine layer with patchy drizzle and onshore flow that limits radiational cooling. This aligns with historical September averages near 64°F and recent observations showing similar mild nights amid above-normal daytime highs. Trader emphasis on the 66–69°F brackets reflects model consensus on these conditions, while residual probability on cooler thresholds accounts for potential variations in fog thickness or wind patterns that could enhance cooling before dawn. Updated NWS guidance and local station data releases will provide the final resolution criteria for the daily minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$892End Date
Sep 16, 2026Market Opened
Sep 14, 2026, 7:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate an overnight low in the mid- to upper 60s for Los Angeles on September 16, driven by a persistent marine layer with patchy drizzle and onshore flow that limits radiational cooling. This aligns with historical September averages near 64°F and recent observations showing similar mild nights amid above-normal daytime highs. Trader emphasis on the 66–69°F brackets reflects model consensus on these conditions, while residual probability on cooler thresholds accounts for potential variations in fog thickness or wind patterns that could enhance cooling before dawn. Updated NWS guidance and local station data releases will provide the final resolution criteria for the daily minimum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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