Recent forecast models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international agencies highlight a shift to persistent northerly winds beginning August 29, replacing warmer southeasterly flows and advecting cooler, drier air masses over Qingdao's coastal region. This, combined with increased cloud cover clearing overnight on the 29th–30th, favors enhanced radiative cooling and supports minimum temperatures in the low 20s°C or potentially lower, aligning with the market's elevated implied odds for 19°C or below. Historical August lows average near 22°C, providing baseline context, while model consensus on timing of the wind shift and any scattered precipitation remains the key variable ahead of final observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Qingdao on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Qingdao on August 30?
19°C or below 93%
20°C 50%
25°C 50%
27°C 49%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
19°C or below
93%
20°C
50%
21°C
26%
22°C
26%
23°C
26%
24°C
2%
25°C
50%
26°C
48%
27°C
49%
28°C
49%
29°C or higher
46%
19°C or below 93%
20°C 50%
25°C 50%
27°C 49%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
19°C or below
$0 Vol.
93%
20°C
$0 Vol.
50%
21°C
$0 Vol.
26%
22°C
$0 Vol.
26%
23°C
$0 Vol.
26%
24°C
$0 Vol.
2%
25°C
$0 Vol.
50%
26°C
$0 Vol.
48%
27°C
$0 Vol.
49%
28°C
$0 Vol.
49%
29°C or higher
$0 Vol.
46%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international agencies highlight a shift to persistent northerly winds beginning August 29, replacing warmer southeasterly flows and advecting cooler, drier air masses over Qingdao's coastal region. This, combined with increased cloud cover clearing overnight on the 29th–30th, favors enhanced radiative cooling and supports minimum temperatures in the low 20s°C or potentially lower, aligning with the market's elevated implied odds for 19°C or below. Historical August lows average near 22°C, providing baseline context, while model consensus on timing of the wind shift and any scattered precipitation remains the key variable ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international agencies highlight a shift to persistent northerly winds beginning August 29, replacing warmer southeasterly flows and advecting cooler, drier air masses over Qingdao's coastal region. This, combined with increased cloud cover clearing overnight on the 29th–30th, favors enhanced radiative cooling and supports minimum temperatures in the low 20s°C or potentially lower, aligning with the market's elevated implied odds for 19°C or below. Historical August lows average near 22°C, providing baseline context, while model consensus on timing of the wind shift and any scattered precipitation remains the key variable ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international agencies highlight a shift to persistent northerly winds beginning August 29, replacing warmer southeasterly flows and advecting cooler, drier air masses over Qingdao's coastal region. This, combined with increased cloud cover clearing overnight on the 29th–30th, favors enhanced radiative cooling and supports minimum temperatures in the low 20s°C or potentially lower, aligning with the market's elevated implied odds for 19°C or below. Historical August lows average near 22°C, providing baseline context, while model consensus on timing of the wind shift and any scattered precipitation remains the key variable ahead of final observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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