Recent model runs show notable spread in forecasts for Qingdao's daily minimum temperature on September 18, with some guidance favoring a cooler nocturnal boundary layer under increasing cloud cover and others maintaining warmer maritime influence from the Yellow Sea, producing the near-even split between sub-17°C and 26°C+ outcomes. Current conditions feature light southeast winds and partly cloudy skies, typical for mid-September transition, with climatological norms placing average lows near 18°C. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles like ECMWF will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution, as small shifts in steering flow or dewpoint advection can alter the overnight minimum by several degrees.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Qingdao on September 18?
Lowest temperature in Qingdao on September 18?
16°C or below 100%
26°C or higher 98%
19°C 40%
20°C 40%
NEW
NEW
Sep 18, 2026
16°C or below
100%
17°C
38%
18°C
39%
19°C
40%
20°C
40%
21°C
39%
22°C
38%
23°C
38%
24°C
38%
25°C
38%
26°C or higher
98%
16°C or below 100%
26°C or higher 98%
19°C 40%
20°C 40%
NEW
NEW
Sep 18, 2026
16°C or below
$0 Vol.
100%
17°C
$0 Vol.
38%
18°C
$0 Vol.
39%
19°C
$0 Vol.
40%
20°C
$0 Vol.
40%
21°C
$0 Vol.
39%
22°C
$0 Vol.
38%
23°C
$0 Vol.
38%
24°C
$0 Vol.
38%
25°C
$0 Vol.
38%
26°C or higher
$0 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs show notable spread in forecasts for Qingdao's daily minimum temperature on September 18, with some guidance favoring a cooler nocturnal boundary layer under increasing cloud cover and others maintaining warmer maritime influence from the Yellow Sea, producing the near-even split between sub-17°C and 26°C+ outcomes. Current conditions feature light southeast winds and partly cloudy skies, typical for mid-September transition, with climatological norms placing average lows near 18°C. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles like ECMWF will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution, as small shifts in steering flow or dewpoint advection can alter the overnight minimum by several degrees.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 18, 2026Market Opened
Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs show notable spread in forecasts for Qingdao's daily minimum temperature on September 18, with some guidance favoring a cooler nocturnal boundary layer under increasing cloud cover and others maintaining warmer maritime influence from the Yellow Sea, producing the near-even split between sub-17°C and 26°C+ outcomes. Current conditions feature light southeast winds and partly cloudy skies, typical for mid-September transition, with climatological norms placing average lows near 18°C. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles like ECMWF will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution, as small shifts in steering flow or dewpoint advection can alter the overnight minimum by several degrees.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 18, 2026Market Opened
Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model runs show notable spread in forecasts for Qingdao's daily minimum temperature on September 18, with some guidance favoring a cooler nocturnal boundary layer under increasing cloud cover and others maintaining warmer maritime influence from the Yellow Sea, producing the near-even split between sub-17°C and 26°C+ outcomes. Current conditions feature light southeast winds and partly cloudy skies, typical for mid-September transition, with climatological norms placing average lows near 18°C. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles like ECMWF will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution, as small shifts in steering flow or dewpoint advection can alter the overnight minimum by several degrees.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions