Weather patterns on September 16, 2026, are shaped by a stalled cold front across the U.S. Midwest and Northeast, where National Weather Service forecasts show spotty showers and thunderstorms with the highest coverage and rainfall totals (0.1–2 inches) north of I-70 in Indiana and parts of Ohio and Wisconsin. Florida and the Southeast face scattered afternoon thunderstorms with 60–80% rain probabilities tied to daytime heating. In Mexico, the Mexican monsoon and a low-pressure system drive strong to very strong rains (50–75 mm) across Sonora, Chihuahua, Puebla, Veracruz, and Yucatán. North Vietnam and adjacent areas expect heavy downpours (60–120+ mm) from lingering monsoon influences. Model consensus from NWS and regional agencies emphasizes localized variability, with updates from ongoing surface observations and short-term guidance likely to refine exact locations before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhere will it rain on September 16?
New York, NY
50%
Los Angeles, CA
50%
Chicago, IL
97%
Houston, TX
50%
Dallas, TX
1%
Phoenix, AZ
85%
Philadelphia, PA
2%
Denver, CO
37%
Washington, DC
4%
Atlanta, GA
3%
Miami, FL
97%
Seattle, WA
26%
Boston, MA
25%
New Orleans, LA
42%
San Francisco, CA
3%
$3,263 Vol.
New York, NY
50%
Los Angeles, CA
50%
Chicago, IL
97%
Houston, TX
50%
Dallas, TX
1%
Phoenix, AZ
85%
Philadelphia, PA
2%
Denver, CO
37%
Washington, DC
4%
Atlanta, GA
3%
Miami, FL
97%
Seattle, WA
26%
Boston, MA
25%
New Orleans, LA
42%
San Francisco, CA
3%
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
Market Opened: Sep 15, 2026, 7:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Weather patterns on September 16, 2026, are shaped by a stalled cold front across the U.S. Midwest and Northeast, where National Weather Service forecasts show spotty showers and thunderstorms with the highest coverage and rainfall totals (0.1–2 inches) north of I-70 in Indiana and parts of Ohio and Wisconsin. Florida and the Southeast face scattered afternoon thunderstorms with 60–80% rain probabilities tied to daytime heating. In Mexico, the Mexican monsoon and a low-pressure system drive strong to very strong rains (50–75 mm) across Sonora, Chihuahua, Puebla, Veracruz, and Yucatán. North Vietnam and adjacent areas expect heavy downpours (60–120+ mm) from lingering monsoon influences. Model consensus from NWS and regional agencies emphasizes localized variability, with updates from ongoing surface observations and short-term guidance likely to refine exact locations before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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