In the Espírito Santo Senate race for the two seats up in Brazil’s October 4, 2026, general election, trader consensus shows Sergio Meneguelli holding the clearest edge for second place while Rose de Freitas, Fabiano Contarato, and a fragmented field trail. Recent polling from Real Time Big Data indicates Governor Renato Casagrande leading first-choice preferences, leaving second place open amid competition from established figures including former Senator Rose de Freitas and incumbent Fabiano Contarato. Meneguelli’s position draws from his strong 2022 state deputy performance and PSD-Republicanos alliance, though limited late-campaign data and multiple viable challengers sustain tight implied probabilities. Upcoming debates, candidate endorsements, and final polling releases in the coming weeks could shift positioning among the contenders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedSergio Meneguelli 50%
Rose de Freitas 20.9%
Fabiano Contarato 16.8%
Evair de Melo 2.8%
$14,945 Vol.
$14,945 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Sergio Meneguelli
50%
Rose de Freitas
20%
Fabiano Contarato
17%
Evair de Melo
3%
Leonardo Monjardim
3%
Maguinha Malta
2%
Callegari
2%
Marcos do Val
1%
Rodney Miranda
1%
Renato Casagrande
1%
Professor Fabian
<1%
Sergio Meneguelli 50%
Rose de Freitas 20.9%
Fabiano Contarato 16.8%
Evair de Melo 2.8%
$14,945 Vol.
$14,945 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Sergio Meneguelli
$11,465 Vol.
50%
Rose de Freitas
$736 Vol.
20%
Fabiano Contarato
$764 Vol.
17%
Evair de Melo
$371 Vol.
3%
Leonardo Monjardim
$258 Vol.
3%
Maguinha Malta
$181 Vol.
2%
Callegari
$398 Vol.
2%
Marcos do Val
$205 Vol.
1%
Rodney Miranda
$139 Vol.
1%
Renato Casagrande
$229 Vol.
1%
Professor Fabian
$201 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In the Espírito Santo Senate race for the two seats up in Brazil’s October 4, 2026, general election, trader consensus shows Sergio Meneguelli holding the clearest edge for second place while Rose de Freitas, Fabiano Contarato, and a fragmented field trail. Recent polling from Real Time Big Data indicates Governor Renato Casagrande leading first-choice preferences, leaving second place open amid competition from established figures including former Senator Rose de Freitas and incumbent Fabiano Contarato. Meneguelli’s position draws from his strong 2022 state deputy performance and PSD-Republicanos alliance, though limited late-campaign data and multiple viable challengers sustain tight implied probabilities. Upcoming debates, candidate endorsements, and final polling releases in the coming weeks could shift positioning among the contenders.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ET
Volume
$14,945End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In the Espírito Santo Senate race for the two seats up in Brazil’s October 4, 2026, general election, trader consensus shows Sergio Meneguelli holding the clearest edge for second place while Rose de Freitas, Fabiano Contarato, and a fragmented field trail. Recent polling from Real Time Big Data indicates Governor Renato Casagrande leading first-choice preferences, leaving second place open amid competition from established figures including former Senator Rose de Freitas and incumbent Fabiano Contarato. Meneguelli’s position draws from his strong 2022 state deputy performance and PSD-Republicanos alliance, though limited late-campaign data and multiple viable challengers sustain tight implied probabilities. Upcoming debates, candidate endorsements, and final polling releases in the coming weeks could shift positioning among the contenders.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$14,945End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...In the Espírito Santo Senate race for the two seats up in Brazil’s October 4, 2026, general election, trader consensus shows Sergio Meneguelli holding the clearest edge for second place while Rose de Freitas, Fabiano Contarato, and a fragmented field trail. Recent polling from Real Time Big Data indicates Governor Renato Casagrande leading first-choice preferences, leaving second place open amid competition from established figures including former Senator Rose de Freitas and incumbent Fabiano Contarato. Meneguelli’s position draws from his strong 2022 state deputy performance and PSD-Republicanos alliance, though limited late-campaign data and multiple viable challengers sustain tight implied probabilities. Upcoming debates, candidate endorsements, and final polling releases in the coming weeks could shift positioning among the contenders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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