Eduardo Braga (MDB) holds the leading position in the Amazonas Senate race for first place due to consistent advantages in recent polling, including 27.8% average vote intention in the August DMP survey and 25.3% in the July Projeta poll, ahead of Capitão Alberto Neto (PL) and others. His support draws from strong performance in the interior alongside established name recognition as an incumbent seeking re-election. Alberto Neto trails in second with 16% range across multiple surveys, while Wilson Lima, Plínio Valério, and lower-polling names like Professora Evany remain further back amid geographic and voter base fragmentation. The two-seat contest structure and ongoing campaign period keep the second vacancy more open, but first-place probabilities align with Braga’s sustained lead in registered TSE polls through mid-August.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedEduardo Braga 77%
Capitão Alberto Neto 16%
Professora Evany 12.0%
Xuxa do Amazonas 1.1%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Eduardo Braga
77%
Capitão Alberto Neto
12%
Professora Evany
12%
Xuxa do Amazonas
1%
Plinio Valério
1%
Wilson Lima
1%
Ismael Munduruku
1%
Dailson Corrêa
<1%
Evandro de Oliveira
<1%
Eduardo Braga 77%
Capitão Alberto Neto 16%
Professora Evany 12.0%
Xuxa do Amazonas 1.1%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Eduardo Braga
$5,574 Vol.
77%
Capitão Alberto Neto
$234 Vol.
12%
Professora Evany
$206 Vol.
12%
Xuxa do Amazonas
$263 Vol.
1%
Plinio Valério
$173 Vol.
1%
Wilson Lima
$194 Vol.
1%
Ismael Munduruku
$217 Vol.
1%
Dailson Corrêa
$211 Vol.
<1%
Evandro de Oliveira
$235 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Braga (MDB) holds the leading position in the Amazonas Senate race for first place due to consistent advantages in recent polling, including 27.8% average vote intention in the August DMP survey and 25.3% in the July Projeta poll, ahead of Capitão Alberto Neto (PL) and others. His support draws from strong performance in the interior alongside established name recognition as an incumbent seeking re-election. Alberto Neto trails in second with 16% range across multiple surveys, while Wilson Lima, Plínio Valério, and lower-polling names like Professora Evany remain further back amid geographic and voter base fragmentation. The two-seat contest structure and ongoing campaign period keep the second vacancy more open, but first-place probabilities align with Braga’s sustained lead in registered TSE polls through mid-August.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 5:53 AM ET
Volume
$7,306End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:53 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Braga (MDB) holds the leading position in the Amazonas Senate race for first place due to consistent advantages in recent polling, including 27.8% average vote intention in the August DMP survey and 25.3% in the July Projeta poll, ahead of Capitão Alberto Neto (PL) and others. His support draws from strong performance in the interior alongside established name recognition as an incumbent seeking re-election. Alberto Neto trails in second with 16% range across multiple surveys, while Wilson Lima, Plínio Valério, and lower-polling names like Professora Evany remain further back amid geographic and voter base fragmentation. The two-seat contest structure and ongoing campaign period keep the second vacancy more open, but first-place probabilities align with Braga’s sustained lead in registered TSE polls through mid-August.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$7,306End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:53 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Eduardo Braga (MDB) holds the leading position in the Amazonas Senate race for first place due to consistent advantages in recent polling, including 27.8% average vote intention in the August DMP survey and 25.3% in the July Projeta poll, ahead of Capitão Alberto Neto (PL) and others. His support draws from strong performance in the interior alongside established name recognition as an incumbent seeking re-election. Alberto Neto trails in second with 16% range across multiple surveys, while Wilson Lima, Plínio Valério, and lower-polling names like Professora Evany remain further back amid geographic and voter base fragmentation. The two-seat contest structure and ongoing campaign period keep the second vacancy more open, but first-place probabilities align with Braga’s sustained lead in registered TSE polls through mid-August.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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