Recent polling shows Eduardo Braga (MDB) leading overall for one Amazonas Senate seat, leaving a tight contest for second place among Capitão Alberto Neto (PL), Wilson Lima (União Brasil), and to a lesser extent Plínio Valério (PSDB). Alberto Neto draws stronger support in Manaus, while Wilson Lima performs better in the interior, fragmenting the conservative vote and sustaining close margins around 15% in mid-2026 surveys. Braga's interior strength further compresses the field for the remaining seat. With official campaigns underway after August registrations and the October 4 vote approaching, shifts in turnout, regional mobilization, or late alliances could separate the contenders by clarifying second-preference flows.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCapitão Alberto Neto 47%
Wilson Lima 39%
Eduardo Braga 11%
Dailson Corrêa <1%

Capitão Alberto Neto
47%

Wilson Lima
39%

Eduardo Braga
11%

Dailson Corrêa
1%

Ismael Munduruku
<1%

Xuxa do Amazonas
<1%

Plinio Valério
<1%

Professora Evany
<1%

Evandro de Oliveira
<1%
Capitão Alberto Neto 47%
Wilson Lima 39%
Eduardo Braga 11%
Dailson Corrêa <1%

Capitão Alberto Neto
47%

Wilson Lima
39%

Eduardo Braga
11%

Dailson Corrêa
1%

Ismael Munduruku
<1%

Xuxa do Amazonas
<1%

Plinio Valério
<1%

Professora Evany
<1%

Evandro de Oliveira
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 5:52 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling shows Eduardo Braga (MDB) leading overall for one Amazonas Senate seat, leaving a tight contest for second place among Capitão Alberto Neto (PL), Wilson Lima (União Brasil), and to a lesser extent Plínio Valério (PSDB). Alberto Neto draws stronger support in Manaus, while Wilson Lima performs better in the interior, fragmenting the conservative vote and sustaining close margins around 15% in mid-2026 surveys. Braga's interior strength further compresses the field for the remaining seat. With official campaigns underway after August registrations and the October 4 vote approaching, shifts in turnout, regional mobilization, or late alliances could separate the contenders by clarifying second-preference flows.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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