Persistent northeasterly flow and high atmospheric moisture are moderating peak temperatures in Miami for September 17, with National Weather Service guidance indicating a high near 88°F amid scattered afternoon thunderstorms. These conditions—driven by an approaching upper-level low and typical September trade-wind regime—limit solar heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling from rain, keeping maxima clustered in the mid-to-upper 80s. Historical September averages near 89°F provide context, yet current model consensus and elevated precipitation probabilities (60–70%) favor the market’s leading 88–89°F bin at 44.5% implied probability, followed by 86–87°F. Updated NHC and local forecast discussions through the evening will refine any shifts from overnight model runs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Miami on September 17?
Highest temperature in Miami on September 17?
88-89°F 45%
86-87°F 32%
84-85°F 12%
90-91°F 12%
NEW
NEW
Sep 17, 2026
77°F or below
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
12%
86-87°F
32%
88-89°F
45%
90-91°F
12%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
1%
96°F or higher
<1%
88-89°F 45%
86-87°F 32%
84-85°F 12%
90-91°F 12%
NEW
NEW
Sep 17, 2026
77°F or below
$338 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$306 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$138 Vol.
1%
82-83°F
$488 Vol.
2%
84-85°F
$1,620 Vol.
12%
86-87°F
$748 Vol.
32%
88-89°F
$1,684 Vol.
45%
90-91°F
$1,821 Vol.
12%
92-93°F
$142 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$158 Vol.
1%
96°F or higher
$320 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent northeasterly flow and high atmospheric moisture are moderating peak temperatures in Miami for September 17, with National Weather Service guidance indicating a high near 88°F amid scattered afternoon thunderstorms. These conditions—driven by an approaching upper-level low and typical September trade-wind regime—limit solar heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling from rain, keeping maxima clustered in the mid-to-upper 80s. Historical September averages near 89°F provide context, yet current model consensus and elevated precipitation probabilities (60–70%) favor the market’s leading 88–89°F bin at 44.5% implied probability, followed by 86–87°F. Updated NHC and local forecast discussions through the evening will refine any shifts from overnight model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 15, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Volume
$7,764End Date
Sep 17, 2026Market Opened
Sep 15, 2026, 2:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent northeasterly flow and high atmospheric moisture are moderating peak temperatures in Miami for September 17, with National Weather Service guidance indicating a high near 88°F amid scattered afternoon thunderstorms. These conditions—driven by an approaching upper-level low and typical September trade-wind regime—limit solar heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling from rain, keeping maxima clustered in the mid-to-upper 80s. Historical September averages near 89°F provide context, yet current model consensus and elevated precipitation probabilities (60–70%) favor the market’s leading 88–89°F bin at 44.5% implied probability, followed by 86–87°F. Updated NHC and local forecast discussions through the evening will refine any shifts from overnight model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,764End Date
Sep 17, 2026Market Opened
Sep 15, 2026, 2:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent northeasterly flow and high atmospheric moisture are moderating peak temperatures in Miami for September 17, with National Weather Service guidance indicating a high near 88°F amid scattered afternoon thunderstorms. These conditions—driven by an approaching upper-level low and typical September trade-wind regime—limit solar heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling from rain, keeping maxima clustered in the mid-to-upper 80s. Historical September averages near 89°F provide context, yet current model consensus and elevated precipitation probabilities (60–70%) favor the market’s leading 88–89°F bin at 44.5% implied probability, followed by 86–87°F. Updated NHC and local forecast discussions through the evening will refine any shifts from overnight model runs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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