Latest meteorological model runs indicate partly cloudy skies with scattered afternoon showers and light southeasterly winds across the Milan area, limiting peak solar insolation and supporting a daily maximum near 27°C rather than 28°C. High humidity levels near 60% and surface pressures around 1013–1014 hPa further moderate warming, while any brief clearing could allow brief spikes toward the higher threshold. Official station observations from the Italian Meteorological Service will resolve the market, and traders are closely monitoring real-time updates as the afternoon progresses. This narrow spread reflects genuine forecast uncertainty typical for transitional September conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Milan on September 16?
27°C 52%
28°C 44%
29°C 5.3%
30°C <1%
$32,295 Vol.
$32,295 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
52%
28°C
44%
29°C
5%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 52%
28°C 44%
29°C 5.3%
30°C <1%
$32,295 Vol.
$32,295 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
52%
28°C
44%
29°C
5%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest meteorological model runs indicate partly cloudy skies with scattered afternoon showers and light southeasterly winds across the Milan area, limiting peak solar insolation and supporting a daily maximum near 27°C rather than 28°C. High humidity levels near 60% and surface pressures around 1013–1014 hPa further moderate warming, while any brief clearing could allow brief spikes toward the higher threshold. Official station observations from the Italian Meteorological Service will resolve the market, and traders are closely monitoring real-time updates as the afternoon progresses. This narrow spread reflects genuine forecast uncertainty typical for transitional September conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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