National Weather Service forecasts call for mostly sunny skies and a high near 79°F in New York City today, driven by light southwesterly winds, high pressure, and minimal cloud cover that limits afternoon mixing and allows efficient surface heating. Model consensus and recent observations align with this range, placing the 78-79°F bin as the clear market leader at 65% implied probability while the modest 23.5% on 80-81°F reflects slight upside potential from localized urban heat or minor forecast revisions. Historical September climatology for Central Park shows similar mild late-summer days averaging in the mid-70s, reinforcing trader focus on the narrow 78-81°F window ahead of tonight’s cooling.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in NYC on September 16?
Highest temperature in NYC on September 16?
78-79°F 66%
80-81°F 24%
76-77°F 11%
82-83°F <1%
$30,692 Vol.
$30,692 Vol.
Sep 16, 2026
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
11%
78-79°F
66%
80-81°F
24%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 66%
80-81°F 24%
76-77°F 11%
82-83°F <1%
$30,692 Vol.
$30,692 Vol.
Sep 16, 2026
69°F or below
$857 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$248 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$1,168 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$1,986 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$5,406 Vol.
11%
78-79°F
$8,649 Vol.
66%
80-81°F
$7,403 Vol.
24%
82-83°F
$2,646 Vol.
1%
84-85°F
$1,800 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$255 Vol.
<1%
88°F or higher
$273 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts call for mostly sunny skies and a high near 79°F in New York City today, driven by light southwesterly winds, high pressure, and minimal cloud cover that limits afternoon mixing and allows efficient surface heating. Model consensus and recent observations align with this range, placing the 78-79°F bin as the clear market leader at 65% implied probability while the modest 23.5% on 80-81°F reflects slight upside potential from localized urban heat or minor forecast revisions. Historical September climatology for Central Park shows similar mild late-summer days averaging in the mid-70s, reinforcing trader focus on the narrow 78-81°F window ahead of tonight’s cooling.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 14, 2026, 2:55 AM ET
Volume
$30,692End Date
Sep 16, 2026Market Opened
Sep 14, 2026, 2:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts call for mostly sunny skies and a high near 79°F in New York City today, driven by light southwesterly winds, high pressure, and minimal cloud cover that limits afternoon mixing and allows efficient surface heating. Model consensus and recent observations align with this range, placing the 78-79°F bin as the clear market leader at 65% implied probability while the modest 23.5% on 80-81°F reflects slight upside potential from localized urban heat or minor forecast revisions. Historical September climatology for Central Park shows similar mild late-summer days averaging in the mid-70s, reinforcing trader focus on the narrow 78-81°F window ahead of tonight’s cooling.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$30,692End Date
Sep 16, 2026Market Opened
Sep 14, 2026, 2:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts call for mostly sunny skies and a high near 79°F in New York City today, driven by light southwesterly winds, high pressure, and minimal cloud cover that limits afternoon mixing and allows efficient surface heating. Model consensus and recent observations align with this range, placing the 78-79°F bin as the clear market leader at 65% implied probability while the modest 23.5% on 80-81°F reflects slight upside potential from localized urban heat or minor forecast revisions. Historical September climatology for Central Park shows similar mild late-summer days averaging in the mid-70s, reinforcing trader focus on the narrow 78-81°F window ahead of tonight’s cooling.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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