Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources points to a daily high of 32°C in Shenzhen on September 17 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds, aligning with the market's 53% implied probability for that outcome. This reflects typical late-summer subtropical conditions where average September highs reach 31–32°C, supported by regional pressure patterns and minimal cloud cover limiting afternoon cooling. Recent model runs show limited spread, with 31°C as the next most likely result at 28.5% if slightly higher humidity or brief showers develop. Official updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these projections ahead of resolution, though historical variability in the region remains low absent tropical influences.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shenzhen on September 17?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 17?
32°C 53%
31°C 29%
33°C 10%
30°C 4%
NEW
$19,048 Vol.
NEW
$19,048 Vol.
Sep 17, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
29%
32°C
53%
33°C
10%
34°C
4%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 53%
31°C 29%
33°C 10%
30°C 4%
NEW
$19,048 Vol.
NEW
$19,048 Vol.
Sep 17, 2026
27°C or below
$458 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$582 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$654 Vol.
2%
30°C
$794 Vol.
4%
31°C
$3,321 Vol.
29%
32°C
$3,784 Vol.
53%
33°C
$3,837 Vol.
10%
34°C
$1,733 Vol.
4%
35°C
$1,184 Vol.
1%
36°C
$791 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$1,911 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources points to a daily high of 32°C in Shenzhen on September 17 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds, aligning with the market's 53% implied probability for that outcome. This reflects typical late-summer subtropical conditions where average September highs reach 31–32°C, supported by regional pressure patterns and minimal cloud cover limiting afternoon cooling. Recent model runs show limited spread, with 31°C as the next most likely result at 28.5% if slightly higher humidity or brief showers develop. Official updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these projections ahead of resolution, though historical variability in the region remains low absent tropical influences.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$19,048End Date
Sep 17, 2026Market Opened
Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources points to a daily high of 32°C in Shenzhen on September 17 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds, aligning with the market's 53% implied probability for that outcome. This reflects typical late-summer subtropical conditions where average September highs reach 31–32°C, supported by regional pressure patterns and minimal cloud cover limiting afternoon cooling. Recent model runs show limited spread, with 31°C as the next most likely result at 28.5% if slightly higher humidity or brief showers develop. Official updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these projections ahead of resolution, though historical variability in the region remains low absent tropical influences.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$19,048End Date
Sep 17, 2026Market Opened
Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources points to a daily high of 32°C in Shenzhen on September 17 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds, aligning with the market's 53% implied probability for that outcome. This reflects typical late-summer subtropical conditions where average September highs reach 31–32°C, supported by regional pressure patterns and minimal cloud cover limiting afternoon cooling. Recent model runs show limited spread, with 31°C as the next most likely result at 28.5% if slightly higher humidity or brief showers develop. Official updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these projections ahead of resolution, though historical variability in the region remains low absent tropical influences.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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