Recent precipitation and cloud cover over Chengdu's Sichuan Basin have kept overnight lows variable, with forecasts for August 30 showing minimum temperatures clustered around 20–23°C amid lingering moisture from earlier showers. Official model guidance highlights uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, where reduced clear-sky heat loss could hold temperatures near 22–23°C while any clearing might allow dips toward 20°C or lower. High humidity and light winds typical of late-summer conditions further moderate extremes, aligning with historical August minima near 23°C. Traders weigh these factors against potential model shifts ahead of the final 48-hour forecast updates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Chengdu on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Chengdu on August 30?
28°C or higher 92%
18°C or below 90%
20°C 82%
21°C 82%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
18°C or below
90%
19°C
78%
20°C
82%
21°C
82%
22°C
45%
23°C
52%
24°C
40%
25°C
2%
26°C
80%
27°C
80%
28°C or higher
92%
28°C or higher 92%
18°C or below 90%
20°C 82%
21°C 82%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
18°C or below
$5 Vol.
90%
19°C
$0 Vol.
78%
20°C
$0 Vol.
82%
21°C
$0 Vol.
82%
22°C
$0 Vol.
45%
23°C
$0 Vol.
52%
24°C
$0 Vol.
40%
25°C
$0 Vol.
2%
26°C
$0 Vol.
80%
27°C
$0 Vol.
80%
28°C or higher
$0 Vol.
92%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent precipitation and cloud cover over Chengdu's Sichuan Basin have kept overnight lows variable, with forecasts for August 30 showing minimum temperatures clustered around 20–23°C amid lingering moisture from earlier showers. Official model guidance highlights uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, where reduced clear-sky heat loss could hold temperatures near 22–23°C while any clearing might allow dips toward 20°C or lower. High humidity and light winds typical of late-summer conditions further moderate extremes, aligning with historical August minima near 23°C. Traders weigh these factors against potential model shifts ahead of the final 48-hour forecast updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$5End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent precipitation and cloud cover over Chengdu's Sichuan Basin have kept overnight lows variable, with forecasts for August 30 showing minimum temperatures clustered around 20–23°C amid lingering moisture from earlier showers. Official model guidance highlights uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, where reduced clear-sky heat loss could hold temperatures near 22–23°C while any clearing might allow dips toward 20°C or lower. High humidity and light winds typical of late-summer conditions further moderate extremes, aligning with historical August minima near 23°C. Traders weigh these factors against potential model shifts ahead of the final 48-hour forecast updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent precipitation and cloud cover over Chengdu's Sichuan Basin have kept overnight lows variable, with forecasts for August 30 showing minimum temperatures clustered around 20–23°C amid lingering moisture from earlier showers. Official model guidance highlights uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, where reduced clear-sky heat loss could hold temperatures near 22–23°C while any clearing might allow dips toward 20°C or lower. High humidity and light winds typical of late-summer conditions further moderate extremes, aligning with historical August minima near 23°C. Traders weigh these factors against potential model shifts ahead of the final 48-hour forecast updates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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