Recent forecasts for Chengdu on September 16 indicate a minimum temperature near 18°C, driven by persistent overnight cloud cover, scattered light rain, and light variable winds that limit radiative cooling under humid subtropical conditions. Multiple model runs and official guidance converge on lows of 17–19°C amid a stable pattern without strong cold advection, aligning with historical mid-September baselines around 18–20°C. Trader sentiment clusters tightly between 17°C and 18°C outcomes because small shifts in precipitation timing or local urban effects could tip the recorded low either way, while lower probabilities for 13–16°C reflect limited potential for greater cooling absent a sharper frontal passage. Updated model guidance later today could refine these margins before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Chengdu on September 16?
Lowest temperature in Chengdu on September 16?
13°C or below 100%
15°C 93%
14°C 90%
19°C <1%
$785 Vol.
$785 Vol.
Sep 16, 2026
13°C or below
100%
14°C
90%
15°C
93%
16°C
-
17°C
-
18°C
-
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
13°C or below 100%
15°C 93%
14°C 90%
19°C <1%
$785 Vol.
$785 Vol.
Sep 16, 2026
13°C or below
$0 Vol.
100%
14°C
$0 Vol.
90%
15°C
$39 Vol.
93%
16°C
$68 Vol.
-
17°C
$66 Vol.
-
18°C
$126 Vol.
-
19°C
$250 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$183 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$16 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$22 Vol.
<1%
23°C or higher
$16 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Chengdu on September 16 indicate a minimum temperature near 18°C, driven by persistent overnight cloud cover, scattered light rain, and light variable winds that limit radiative cooling under humid subtropical conditions. Multiple model runs and official guidance converge on lows of 17–19°C amid a stable pattern without strong cold advection, aligning with historical mid-September baselines around 18–20°C. Trader sentiment clusters tightly between 17°C and 18°C outcomes because small shifts in precipitation timing or local urban effects could tip the recorded low either way, while lower probabilities for 13–16°C reflect limited potential for greater cooling absent a sharper frontal passage. Updated model guidance later today could refine these margins before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$785End Date
Sep 16, 2026Market Opened
Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Chengdu on September 16 indicate a minimum temperature near 18°C, driven by persistent overnight cloud cover, scattered light rain, and light variable winds that limit radiative cooling under humid subtropical conditions. Multiple model runs and official guidance converge on lows of 17–19°C amid a stable pattern without strong cold advection, aligning with historical mid-September baselines around 18–20°C. Trader sentiment clusters tightly between 17°C and 18°C outcomes because small shifts in precipitation timing or local urban effects could tip the recorded low either way, while lower probabilities for 13–16°C reflect limited potential for greater cooling absent a sharper frontal passage. Updated model guidance later today could refine these margins before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$785End Date
Sep 16, 2026Market Opened
Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Chengdu on September 16 indicate a minimum temperature near 18°C, driven by persistent overnight cloud cover, scattered light rain, and light variable winds that limit radiative cooling under humid subtropical conditions. Multiple model runs and official guidance converge on lows of 17–19°C amid a stable pattern without strong cold advection, aligning with historical mid-September baselines around 18–20°C. Trader sentiment clusters tightly between 17°C and 18°C outcomes because small shifts in precipitation timing or local urban effects could tip the recorded low either way, while lower probabilities for 13–16°C reflect limited potential for greater cooling absent a sharper frontal passage. Updated model guidance later today could refine these margins before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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