Persistent light rain and cloud cover from the Hua Xi autumn rain period, which began around September 15, are keeping Chongqing's overnight lows near 19°C on the 16th by limiting radiational cooling and maintaining high humidity. Official forecasts from regional meteorological sources consistently project daily ranges of 20–23°C with minimal wind, aligning trader consensus on the 19°C outcome at over 80% implied probability. Model runs show little divergence, though any unexpected clearing could allow slightly lower readings near 18°C. Historical September baselines in the region average 21°C lows, making the current pattern a notable but expected seasonal shift as cold air interacts with lingering monsoon moisture. Updated overnight observations and morning briefings will refine final resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Chongqing on September 16?
Lowest temperature in Chongqing on September 16?
19°C 97%
15°C or below 90%
16°C 90%
17°C 90%
$2,278 Vol.
$2,278 Vol.
Sep 16, 2026
15°C or below
90%
16°C
90%
17°C
90%
18°C
48%
19°C
85%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
19°C 97%
15°C or below 90%
16°C 90%
17°C 90%
$2,278 Vol.
$2,278 Vol.
Sep 16, 2026
15°C or below
$0 Vol.
90%
16°C
$0 Vol.
90%
17°C
$44 Vol.
90%
18°C
$0 Vol.
48%
19°C
$116 Vol.
85%
20°C
$505 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$781 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$32 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$22 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$22 Vol.
<1%
25°C or higher
$756 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent light rain and cloud cover from the Hua Xi autumn rain period, which began around September 15, are keeping Chongqing's overnight lows near 19°C on the 16th by limiting radiational cooling and maintaining high humidity. Official forecasts from regional meteorological sources consistently project daily ranges of 20–23°C with minimal wind, aligning trader consensus on the 19°C outcome at over 80% implied probability. Model runs show little divergence, though any unexpected clearing could allow slightly lower readings near 18°C. Historical September baselines in the region average 21°C lows, making the current pattern a notable but expected seasonal shift as cold air interacts with lingering monsoon moisture. Updated overnight observations and morning briefings will refine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$2,278End Date
Sep 16, 2026Market Opened
Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent light rain and cloud cover from the Hua Xi autumn rain period, which began around September 15, are keeping Chongqing's overnight lows near 19°C on the 16th by limiting radiational cooling and maintaining high humidity. Official forecasts from regional meteorological sources consistently project daily ranges of 20–23°C with minimal wind, aligning trader consensus on the 19°C outcome at over 80% implied probability. Model runs show little divergence, though any unexpected clearing could allow slightly lower readings near 18°C. Historical September baselines in the region average 21°C lows, making the current pattern a notable but expected seasonal shift as cold air interacts with lingering monsoon moisture. Updated overnight observations and morning briefings will refine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,278End Date
Sep 16, 2026Market Opened
Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent light rain and cloud cover from the Hua Xi autumn rain period, which began around September 15, are keeping Chongqing's overnight lows near 19°C on the 16th by limiting radiational cooling and maintaining high humidity. Official forecasts from regional meteorological sources consistently project daily ranges of 20–23°C with minimal wind, aligning trader consensus on the 19°C outcome at over 80% implied probability. Model runs show little divergence, though any unexpected clearing could allow slightly lower readings near 18°C. Historical September baselines in the region average 21°C lows, making the current pattern a notable but expected seasonal shift as cold air interacts with lingering monsoon moisture. Updated overnight observations and morning briefings will refine final resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions