Forecast models from agencies like the ECMWF and national meteorological services indicate overnight lows in Milan on September 18 will likely settle near 17–18°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, easterly winds, and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions contrast with clearer scenarios that could allow temperatures to dip toward 13–15°C or, less likely, produce brief warming above 21°C. Historical September baselines for the Po Valley show average minima around 16°C, but the current pattern of high humidity and stable pressure favors a narrower range without sharp drops. Traders appear to weigh model consensus on cloud persistence against potential shifts in steering patterns, with resolution hinging on the precise minimum recorded by official stations before any evening rebound.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Milan on September 18?
Lowest temperature in Milan on September 18?
12°C or below 99%
22°C or higher 98%
15°C 40%
17°C 40%
NEW
NEW
Sep 18, 2026
12°C or below
99%
13°C
39%
14°C
39%
15°C
40%
16°C
39%
17°C
40%
18°C
40%
19°C
40%
20°C
38%
21°C
39%
22°C or higher
98%
12°C or below 99%
22°C or higher 98%
15°C 40%
17°C 40%
NEW
NEW
Sep 18, 2026
12°C or below
$0 Vol.
99%
13°C
$0 Vol.
39%
14°C
$0 Vol.
39%
15°C
$0 Vol.
40%
16°C
$0 Vol.
39%
17°C
$0 Vol.
40%
18°C
$0 Vol.
40%
19°C
$0 Vol.
40%
20°C
$0 Vol.
38%
21°C
$0 Vol.
39%
22°C or higher
$0 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the ECMWF and national meteorological services indicate overnight lows in Milan on September 18 will likely settle near 17–18°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, easterly winds, and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions contrast with clearer scenarios that could allow temperatures to dip toward 13–15°C or, less likely, produce brief warming above 21°C. Historical September baselines for the Po Valley show average minima around 16°C, but the current pattern of high humidity and stable pressure favors a narrower range without sharp drops. Traders appear to weigh model consensus on cloud persistence against potential shifts in steering patterns, with resolution hinging on the precise minimum recorded by official stations before any evening rebound.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 18, 2026Market Opened
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the ECMWF and national meteorological services indicate overnight lows in Milan on September 18 will likely settle near 17–18°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, easterly winds, and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions contrast with clearer scenarios that could allow temperatures to dip toward 13–15°C or, less likely, produce brief warming above 21°C. Historical September baselines for the Po Valley show average minima around 16°C, but the current pattern of high humidity and stable pressure favors a narrower range without sharp drops. Traders appear to weigh model consensus on cloud persistence against potential shifts in steering patterns, with resolution hinging on the precise minimum recorded by official stations before any evening rebound.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 18, 2026Market Opened
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies like the ECMWF and national meteorological services indicate overnight lows in Milan on September 18 will likely settle near 17–18°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, easterly winds, and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions contrast with clearer scenarios that could allow temperatures to dip toward 13–15°C or, less likely, produce brief warming above 21°C. Historical September baselines for the Po Valley show average minima around 16°C, but the current pattern of high humidity and stable pressure favors a narrower range without sharp drops. Traders appear to weigh model consensus on cloud persistence against potential shifts in steering patterns, with resolution hinging on the precise minimum recorded by official stations before any evening rebound.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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