**Forecast models from the National Weather Service and other sources indicate a minimum temperature for New York City on September 17 likely in the upper 60s to low 70s, with consensus around 67–70°F driven by persistent cloud cover, southerly flow, and elevated humidity.** These conditions limit radiational cooling overnight, keeping lows higher than under clear skies typical for mid-September. Recent model runs show slight disagreements on the exact timing of any clearing or wind shifts that could allow a brief dip toward 68–69°F versus stabilization near 70–72°F. Traders appear to weight the warmer end of guidance more heavily, reflecting the current atmospheric setup with moist air masses and light winds that reduce the chance of sharp nocturnal drops. Updated NWS briefings and refined model outputs later on the 16th could shift odds if skies trend clearer than anticipated.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in NYC on September 17?
Lowest temperature in NYC on September 17?
72-73°F 39%
70-71°F 29%
68-69°F 15%
66-67°F 14%
NEW
NEW
Sep 17, 2026
61°F or below
1%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
4%
66-67°F
14%
68-69°F
15%
70-71°F
29%
72-73°F
39%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
1%
80°F or higher
<1%
72-73°F 39%
70-71°F 29%
68-69°F 15%
66-67°F 14%
NEW
NEW
Sep 17, 2026
61°F or below
$164 Vol.
1%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
2%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
4%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
14%
68-69°F
$142 Vol.
15%
70-71°F
$262 Vol.
29%
72-73°F
$357 Vol.
39%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
6%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
2%
78-79°F
$5 Vol.
1%
80°F or higher
$41 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from the National Weather Service and other sources indicate a minimum temperature for New York City on September 17 likely in the upper 60s to low 70s, with consensus around 67–70°F driven by persistent cloud cover, southerly flow, and elevated humidity.**
These conditions limit radiational cooling overnight, keeping lows higher than under clear skies typical for mid-September. Recent model runs show slight disagreements on the exact timing of any clearing or wind shifts that could allow a brief dip toward 68–69°F versus stabilization near 70–72°F. Traders appear to weight the warmer end of guidance more heavily, reflecting the current atmospheric setup with moist air masses and light winds that reduce the chance of sharp nocturnal drops. Updated NWS briefings and refined model outputs later on the 16th could shift odds if skies trend clearer than anticipated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 15, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$972End Date
Sep 17, 2026Market Opened
Sep 15, 2026, 3:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from the National Weather Service and other sources indicate a minimum temperature for New York City on September 17 likely in the upper 60s to low 70s, with consensus around 67–70°F driven by persistent cloud cover, southerly flow, and elevated humidity.**
These conditions limit radiational cooling overnight, keeping lows higher than under clear skies typical for mid-September. Recent model runs show slight disagreements on the exact timing of any clearing or wind shifts that could allow a brief dip toward 68–69°F versus stabilization near 70–72°F. Traders appear to weight the warmer end of guidance more heavily, reflecting the current atmospheric setup with moist air masses and light winds that reduce the chance of sharp nocturnal drops. Updated NWS briefings and refined model outputs later on the 16th could shift odds if skies trend clearer than anticipated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$972End Date
Sep 17, 2026Market Opened
Sep 15, 2026, 3:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from the National Weather Service and other sources indicate a minimum temperature for New York City on September 17 likely in the upper 60s to low 70s, with consensus around 67–70°F driven by persistent cloud cover, southerly flow, and elevated humidity.** These conditions limit radiational cooling overnight, keeping lows higher than under clear skies typical for mid-September. Recent model runs show slight disagreements on the exact timing of any clearing or wind shifts that could allow a brief dip toward 68–69°F versus stabilization near 70–72°F. Traders appear to weight the warmer end of guidance more heavily, reflecting the current atmospheric setup with moist air masses and light winds that reduce the chance of sharp nocturnal drops. Updated NWS briefings and refined model outputs later on the 16th could shift odds if skies trend clearer than anticipated.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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