Forecast models from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a likely overnight low near 23–24°C for Incheon on August 30 amid lingering late-summer humidity, variable cloud cover, and scattered rain chances tied to a persistent heat dome. These conditions limit strong radiational cooling, supporting the market's close split between 23°C (32.5%) and 24°C (26.5%) outcomes. Clearer intervals could enhance cooling toward 22°C, while thicker clouds or showers would favor slightly warmer readings near 25°C. Recent patterns of tropical nights and above-average August temperatures reinforce trader focus on model consensus updates through the weekend, with resolution hinging on precise minimum observations at the Incheon station.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 30?
23°C 32%
24°C 27%
26°C 21%
22°C 17%
18°C or below
1%
19°C
6%
20°C
3%
21°C
11%
22°C
17%
23°C
32%
24°C
27%
25°C
17%
26°C
21%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
8%
23°C 32%
24°C 27%
26°C 21%
22°C 17%
18°C or below
1%
19°C
6%
20°C
3%
21°C
11%
22°C
17%
23°C
32%
24°C
27%
25°C
17%
26°C
21%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
8%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a likely overnight low near 23–24°C for Incheon on August 30 amid lingering late-summer humidity, variable cloud cover, and scattered rain chances tied to a persistent heat dome. These conditions limit strong radiational cooling, supporting the market's close split between 23°C (32.5%) and 24°C (26.5%) outcomes. Clearer intervals could enhance cooling toward 22°C, while thicker clouds or showers would favor slightly warmer readings near 25°C. Recent patterns of tropical nights and above-average August temperatures reinforce trader focus on model consensus updates through the weekend, with resolution hinging on precise minimum observations at the Incheon station.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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