Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate Shanghai will record an overnight minimum near 28°C on August 27 under persistent cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and elevated humidity from a nearby weather system. These conditions limit radiative cooling, consistent with late-August climatology and the preceding days' observed lows of 26–27°C. Model consensus supports this range with minimal overnight drop expected through dawn. A stronger-than-anticipated clear spell or sharp wind shift could allow brief radiative cooling toward 27°C, though current atmospheric stability makes that outcome low-probability before official daily minimum verification.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 27?
28°C 93%
27°C 8%
26°C <1%
24°C <1%
$18,454 Vol.
$18,454 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
8%
28°C
93%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 93%
27°C 8%
26°C <1%
24°C <1%
$18,454 Vol.
$18,454 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
8%
28°C
93%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate Shanghai will record an overnight minimum near 28°C on August 27 under persistent cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and elevated humidity from a nearby weather system. These conditions limit radiative cooling, consistent with late-August climatology and the preceding days' observed lows of 26–27°C. Model consensus supports this range with minimal overnight drop expected through dawn. A stronger-than-anticipated clear spell or sharp wind shift could allow brief radiative cooling toward 27°C, though current atmospheric stability makes that outcome low-probability before official daily minimum verification.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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