Recent forecasts for Shenzhen indicate a minimum temperature near 26°C on August 30 amid widespread moderate to heavy rain and persistent cloud cover, which limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Multiple models cluster overnight lows between 24–28°C, with several official and ensemble runs centering on 25–26°C under humid subtropical conditions typical for late August. Elevated moisture and precipitation enhance this moderation relative to drier historical baselines around 25°C. Trader consensus on 25–26°C reflects these near-term model outputs, though small shifts in steering flow or rainfall timing could alter the exact minimum before resolution. Updated guidance from regional agencies is expected within the next 24–48 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 30?
25°C 77%
23°C or below 62%
30°C 50%
24°C 49%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
23°C or below
62%
24°C
49%
25°C
77%
26°C
48%
27°C
34%
28°C
25%
29°C
49%
30°C
50%
31°C
2%
32°C
20%
33°C or higher
39%
25°C 77%
23°C or below 62%
30°C 50%
24°C 49%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
23°C or below
$0 Vol.
62%
24°C
$0 Vol.
49%
25°C
$0 Vol.
77%
26°C
$0 Vol.
48%
27°C
$0 Vol.
34%
28°C
$0 Vol.
25%
29°C
$0 Vol.
49%
30°C
$0 Vol.
50%
31°C
$0 Vol.
2%
32°C
$0 Vol.
20%
33°C or higher
$0 Vol.
39%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shenzhen indicate a minimum temperature near 26°C on August 30 amid widespread moderate to heavy rain and persistent cloud cover, which limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Multiple models cluster overnight lows between 24–28°C, with several official and ensemble runs centering on 25–26°C under humid subtropical conditions typical for late August. Elevated moisture and precipitation enhance this moderation relative to drier historical baselines around 25°C. Trader consensus on 25–26°C reflects these near-term model outputs, though small shifts in steering flow or rainfall timing could alter the exact minimum before resolution. Updated guidance from regional agencies is expected within the next 24–48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shenzhen indicate a minimum temperature near 26°C on August 30 amid widespread moderate to heavy rain and persistent cloud cover, which limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Multiple models cluster overnight lows between 24–28°C, with several official and ensemble runs centering on 25–26°C under humid subtropical conditions typical for late August. Elevated moisture and precipitation enhance this moderation relative to drier historical baselines around 25°C. Trader consensus on 25–26°C reflects these near-term model outputs, though small shifts in steering flow or rainfall timing could alter the exact minimum before resolution. Updated guidance from regional agencies is expected within the next 24–48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Shenzhen indicate a minimum temperature near 26°C on August 30 amid widespread moderate to heavy rain and persistent cloud cover, which limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Multiple models cluster overnight lows between 24–28°C, with several official and ensemble runs centering on 25–26°C under humid subtropical conditions typical for late August. Elevated moisture and precipitation enhance this moderation relative to drier historical baselines around 25°C. Trader consensus on 25–26°C reflects these near-term model outputs, though small shifts in steering flow or rainfall timing could alter the exact minimum before resolution. Updated guidance from regional agencies is expected within the next 24–48 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions