Recent forecasts indicate cooling in Wuhan driven by peripheral flows from multiple typhoons, with cloudy skies, widespread rain, and northerly winds expected on August 30 that should suppress daytime highs and limit overnight radiative cooling. Official Hubei meteorological guidance projects a daily range of roughly 24–34°C, while ensemble models diverge on the precise minimum—some cluster near 25–26°C amid steady precipitation, others allow brief clear spells that could dip toward 23–24°C. This spread in guidance, combined with the short remaining forecast window before resolution, explains the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around the mid-20s Celsius outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Wuhan on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Wuhan on August 30?
30°C 85%
29°C 48%
26°C 46%
27°C 45%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
22°C or below
16%
23°C
19%
24°C
43%
25°C
44%
26°C
46%
27°C
45%
28°C
2%
29°C
48%
30°C
85%
31°C
19%
32°C or higher
17%
30°C 85%
29°C 48%
26°C 46%
27°C 45%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
22°C or below
$0 Vol.
16%
23°C
$0 Vol.
19%
24°C
$0 Vol.
43%
25°C
$0 Vol.
44%
26°C
$0 Vol.
46%
27°C
$0 Vol.
45%
28°C
$0 Vol.
2%
29°C
$0 Vol.
48%
30°C
$5 Vol.
85%
31°C
$5 Vol.
19%
32°C or higher
$5 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts indicate cooling in Wuhan driven by peripheral flows from multiple typhoons, with cloudy skies, widespread rain, and northerly winds expected on August 30 that should suppress daytime highs and limit overnight radiative cooling. Official Hubei meteorological guidance projects a daily range of roughly 24–34°C, while ensemble models diverge on the precise minimum—some cluster near 25–26°C amid steady precipitation, others allow brief clear spells that could dip toward 23–24°C. This spread in guidance, combined with the short remaining forecast window before resolution, explains the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around the mid-20s Celsius outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$15End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts indicate cooling in Wuhan driven by peripheral flows from multiple typhoons, with cloudy skies, widespread rain, and northerly winds expected on August 30 that should suppress daytime highs and limit overnight radiative cooling. Official Hubei meteorological guidance projects a daily range of roughly 24–34°C, while ensemble models diverge on the precise minimum—some cluster near 25–26°C amid steady precipitation, others allow brief clear spells that could dip toward 23–24°C. This spread in guidance, combined with the short remaining forecast window before resolution, explains the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around the mid-20s Celsius outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$15End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts indicate cooling in Wuhan driven by peripheral flows from multiple typhoons, with cloudy skies, widespread rain, and northerly winds expected on August 30 that should suppress daytime highs and limit overnight radiative cooling. Official Hubei meteorological guidance projects a daily range of roughly 24–34°C, while ensemble models diverge on the precise minimum—some cluster near 25–26°C amid steady precipitation, others allow brief clear spells that could dip toward 23–24°C. This spread in guidance, combined with the short remaining forecast window before resolution, explains the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around the mid-20s Celsius outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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