Recent polling and candidate registrations ahead of the October 4, 2026, vote show a fragmented field for the two Acre Senate seats, with experienced contenders including incumbent Márcio Bittar (PL), ex-governor Gladson Cameli (PP), and ex-governor Jorge Viana (PT) each drawing significant support in the low-to-mid 20s or below. Multiple prior officeholders, overlapping party coalitions, and regional voter bases have kept first-place probabilities tightly bunched, as reflected in current trader pricing. Cameli’s resignation from the governorship and ongoing legal proceedings introduce added uncertainty, while late-campaign events such as alliances, turnout shifts in key municipalities, or further judicial rulings could widen gaps among the leaders before ballots close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMarcio Bittar 47%
Gladson Camelí 25.9%
Mara Rocha 14.1%
Jorge Viana 13.0%
$12,447 Vol.
$12,447 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Marcio Bittar
47%
Gladson Camelí
26%
Mara Rocha
14%
Jorge Viana
13%
Petecão
7%
Dr. Junior Feitosa
4%
Eduardo Velloso
1%
Professor Inacio Moreira
<1%
Marcio Bittar 47%
Gladson Camelí 25.9%
Mara Rocha 14.1%
Jorge Viana 13.0%
$12,447 Vol.
$12,447 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Marcio Bittar
$4,629 Vol.
47%
Gladson Camelí
$3,779 Vol.
26%
Mara Rocha
$1,199 Vol.
14%
Jorge Viana
$823 Vol.
13%
Petecão
$812 Vol.
7%
Dr. Junior Feitosa
$318 Vol.
4%
Eduardo Velloso
$357 Vol.
1%
Professor Inacio Moreira
$531 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling and candidate registrations ahead of the October 4, 2026, vote show a fragmented field for the two Acre Senate seats, with experienced contenders including incumbent Márcio Bittar (PL), ex-governor Gladson Cameli (PP), and ex-governor Jorge Viana (PT) each drawing significant support in the low-to-mid 20s or below. Multiple prior officeholders, overlapping party coalitions, and regional voter bases have kept first-place probabilities tightly bunched, as reflected in current trader pricing. Cameli’s resignation from the governorship and ongoing legal proceedings introduce added uncertainty, while late-campaign events such as alliances, turnout shifts in key municipalities, or further judicial rulings could widen gaps among the leaders before ballots close.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 5:46 AM ET
Volume
$12,447End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:46 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling and candidate registrations ahead of the October 4, 2026, vote show a fragmented field for the two Acre Senate seats, with experienced contenders including incumbent Márcio Bittar (PL), ex-governor Gladson Cameli (PP), and ex-governor Jorge Viana (PT) each drawing significant support in the low-to-mid 20s or below. Multiple prior officeholders, overlapping party coalitions, and regional voter bases have kept first-place probabilities tightly bunched, as reflected in current trader pricing. Cameli’s resignation from the governorship and ongoing legal proceedings introduce added uncertainty, while late-campaign events such as alliances, turnout shifts in key municipalities, or further judicial rulings could widen gaps among the leaders before ballots close.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$12,447End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:46 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling and candidate registrations ahead of the October 4, 2026, vote show a fragmented field for the two Acre Senate seats, with experienced contenders including incumbent Márcio Bittar (PL), ex-governor Gladson Cameli (PP), and ex-governor Jorge Viana (PT) each drawing significant support in the low-to-mid 20s or below. Multiple prior officeholders, overlapping party coalitions, and regional voter bases have kept first-place probabilities tightly bunched, as reflected in current trader pricing. Cameli’s resignation from the governorship and ongoing legal proceedings introduce added uncertainty, while late-campaign events such as alliances, turnout shifts in key municipalities, or further judicial rulings could widen gaps among the leaders before ballots close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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