The Tocantins Senate race for the second seat remains tightly contested due to persistent vote fragmentation across more than a dozen registered candidates ahead of the October 4 election. Polling throughout 2026 has shown Eduardo Gomes (PL) holding a clear lead for first place, leaving Alexandre Guimarães (MDB) as the frontrunner for second but with limited separation from names such as Carlos Gaguim (União), Ronaldo Dimas (Podemos), Eli Borges (Republicanos), Vanderlei Luxemburgo (Podemos), and Paulo Mourão (PT). Recent surveys indicate high undecided shares and overlapping support bands, while candidate registrations, asset disclosures, and local endorsements have produced no decisive shifts. Trader pricing reflects this uncertainty, with room for late momentum from alliances, turnout patterns in key municipalities, or campaign events to reorder the lower tier before votes are cast.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAlexandre Guimarães 45%
Paulo Mourão 12%
Eli Borges 9%
Vanderlei Luxemburgo 9%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Alexandre Guimarães
45%
Paulo Mourão
12%
Eli Borges
9%
Vanderlei Luxemburgo
9%
Nilton Santos
5%
Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro
4%
Ronaldo Dimas
3%
Apóstolo Flavio Braga
3%
Osvany Luz
2%
Gaguim
2%
Professor Osvaldo
2%
Eduardo Gomes
2%
Fábio Ribeiro
1%
Alexandre Guimarães 45%
Paulo Mourão 12%
Eli Borges 9%
Vanderlei Luxemburgo 9%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Alexandre Guimarães
$4,253 Vol.
45%
Paulo Mourão
$1,353 Vol.
12%
Eli Borges
$326 Vol.
9%
Vanderlei Luxemburgo
$313 Vol.
9%
Nilton Santos
$273 Vol.
5%
Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro
$236 Vol.
4%
Ronaldo Dimas
$262 Vol.
3%
Apóstolo Flavio Braga
$203 Vol.
3%
Osvany Luz
$305 Vol.
2%
Gaguim
$218 Vol.
2%
Professor Osvaldo
$221 Vol.
2%
Eduardo Gomes
$256 Vol.
2%
Fábio Ribeiro
$211 Vol.
1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Tocantins Senate race for the second seat remains tightly contested due to persistent vote fragmentation across more than a dozen registered candidates ahead of the October 4 election. Polling throughout 2026 has shown Eduardo Gomes (PL) holding a clear lead for first place, leaving Alexandre Guimarães (MDB) as the frontrunner for second but with limited separation from names such as Carlos Gaguim (União), Ronaldo Dimas (Podemos), Eli Borges (Republicanos), Vanderlei Luxemburgo (Podemos), and Paulo Mourão (PT). Recent surveys indicate high undecided shares and overlapping support bands, while candidate registrations, asset disclosures, and local endorsements have produced no decisive shifts. Trader pricing reflects this uncertainty, with room for late momentum from alliances, turnout patterns in key municipalities, or campaign events to reorder the lower tier before votes are cast.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ET
Volume
$8,431End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Tocantins Senate race for the second seat remains tightly contested due to persistent vote fragmentation across more than a dozen registered candidates ahead of the October 4 election. Polling throughout 2026 has shown Eduardo Gomes (PL) holding a clear lead for first place, leaving Alexandre Guimarães (MDB) as the frontrunner for second but with limited separation from names such as Carlos Gaguim (União), Ronaldo Dimas (Podemos), Eli Borges (Republicanos), Vanderlei Luxemburgo (Podemos), and Paulo Mourão (PT). Recent surveys indicate high undecided shares and overlapping support bands, while candidate registrations, asset disclosures, and local endorsements have produced no decisive shifts. Trader pricing reflects this uncertainty, with room for late momentum from alliances, turnout patterns in key municipalities, or campaign events to reorder the lower tier before votes are cast.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$8,431End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Tocantins Senate race for the second seat remains tightly contested due to persistent vote fragmentation across more than a dozen registered candidates ahead of the October 4 election. Polling throughout 2026 has shown Eduardo Gomes (PL) holding a clear lead for first place, leaving Alexandre Guimarães (MDB) as the frontrunner for second but with limited separation from names such as Carlos Gaguim (União), Ronaldo Dimas (Podemos), Eli Borges (Republicanos), Vanderlei Luxemburgo (Podemos), and Paulo Mourão (PT). Recent surveys indicate high undecided shares and overlapping support bands, while candidate registrations, asset disclosures, and local endorsements have produced no decisive shifts. Trader pricing reflects this uncertainty, with room for late momentum from alliances, turnout patterns in key municipalities, or campaign events to reorder the lower tier before votes are cast.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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