**Clear skies, light northwest winds, and typical late-summer solar heating position Atlanta for a high in the lower 90s on August 24, 2026, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 92–93 °F bin (53 % implied probability) followed by 90–91 °F (32 %).** Official NWS and private-model guidance issued the evening of August 23 consistently forecast a daytime maximum of 91–92 °F under mostly sunny conditions, with northwest flow at 5–10 mph limiting moisture and cloud cover. This places the expected peak just above the 1991–2020 climatological normal of 87.8 °F but well below recent August extremes (98 °F records in 1968/1983). Observed conditions on August 23 reached 93 °F, yet the shift to northerly flow and reduced humidity has tempered further intensification. Traders have therefore concentrated probability in the narrow 90–93 °F window, reflecting high confidence in the stable synoptic pattern and the low likelihood of either strong afternoon convection or an unexpected warm bias that would push readings into the mid-90s or higher. No significant model spread or emerging warm-sector advection appears in current guidance, keeping tail risks (94 °F+) at single-digit percentages.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Atlanta on August 24?
Highest temperature in Atlanta on August 24?
92-93°F 55%
90-91°F 32%
94-95°F 9%
88-89°F 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
85°F or below
<1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
7%
90-91°F
32%
92-93°F
55%
94-95°F
9%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
1%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
<1%
104°F or higher
<1%
92-93°F 55%
90-91°F 32%
94-95°F 9%
88-89°F 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
85°F or below
$1,249 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$1,042 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$755 Vol.
7%
90-91°F
$536 Vol.
32%
92-93°F
$916 Vol.
55%
94-95°F
$704 Vol.
9%
96-97°F
$933 Vol.
1%
98-99°F
$408 Vol.
1%
100-101°F
$229 Vol.
<1%
102-103°F
$197 Vol.
<1%
104°F or higher
$139 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katl
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies, light northwest winds, and typical late-summer solar heating position Atlanta for a high in the lower 90s on August 24, 2026, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 92–93 °F bin (53 % implied probability) followed by 90–91 °F (32 %).**
Official NWS and private-model guidance issued the evening of August 23 consistently forecast a daytime maximum of 91–92 °F under mostly sunny conditions, with northwest flow at 5–10 mph limiting moisture and cloud cover. This places the expected peak just above the 1991–2020 climatological normal of 87.8 °F but well below recent August extremes (98 °F records in 1968/1983). Observed conditions on August 23 reached 93 °F, yet the shift to northerly flow and reduced humidity has tempered further intensification.
Traders have therefore concentrated probability in the narrow 90–93 °F window, reflecting high confidence in the stable synoptic pattern and the low likelihood of either strong afternoon convection or an unexpected warm bias that would push readings into the mid-90s or higher. No significant model spread or emerging warm-sector advection appears in current guidance, keeping tail risks (94 °F+) at single-digit percentages.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katl
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katl
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$7,108End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katlResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katl
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies, light northwest winds, and typical late-summer solar heating position Atlanta for a high in the lower 90s on August 24, 2026, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 92–93 °F bin (53 % implied probability) followed by 90–91 °F (32 %).**
Official NWS and private-model guidance issued the evening of August 23 consistently forecast a daytime maximum of 91–92 °F under mostly sunny conditions, with northwest flow at 5–10 mph limiting moisture and cloud cover. This places the expected peak just above the 1991–2020 climatological normal of 87.8 °F but well below recent August extremes (98 °F records in 1968/1983). Observed conditions on August 23 reached 93 °F, yet the shift to northerly flow and reduced humidity has tempered further intensification.
Traders have therefore concentrated probability in the narrow 90–93 °F window, reflecting high confidence in the stable synoptic pattern and the low likelihood of either strong afternoon convection or an unexpected warm bias that would push readings into the mid-90s or higher. No significant model spread or emerging warm-sector advection appears in current guidance, keeping tail risks (94 °F+) at single-digit percentages.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katl
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katl
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,108End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katlResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Clear skies, light northwest winds, and typical late-summer solar heating position Atlanta for a high in the lower 90s on August 24, 2026, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 92–93 °F bin (53 % implied probability) followed by 90–91 °F (32 %).** Official NWS and private-model guidance issued the evening of August 23 consistently forecast a daytime maximum of 91–92 °F under mostly sunny conditions, with northwest flow at 5–10 mph limiting moisture and cloud cover. This places the expected peak just above the 1991–2020 climatological normal of 87.8 °F but well below recent August extremes (98 °F records in 1968/1983). Observed conditions on August 23 reached 93 °F, yet the shift to northerly flow and reduced humidity has tempered further intensification. Traders have therefore concentrated probability in the narrow 90–93 °F window, reflecting high confidence in the stable synoptic pattern and the low likelihood of either strong afternoon convection or an unexpected warm bias that would push readings into the mid-90s or higher. No significant model spread or emerging warm-sector advection appears in current guidance, keeping tail risks (94 °F+) at single-digit percentages.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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