Recent forecasts from official monitoring indicate persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms over Panama City on August 25, driven by the region's wet-season atmospheric instability and high humidity levels near 85-90%. These conditions suppress nocturnal radiative cooling, typically holding minimum temperatures near the 25-26°C historical August average rather than allowing drops toward 21°C or surges above 30°C. Model consensus shows limited diurnal variation due to ongoing moisture and light northwest winds, with any clearer intervals potentially enabling slightly lower readings. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow uncertainty band around typical tropical baselines, as new observational data or revised runs could refine the exact overnight low before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Panama City on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Panama City on August 25?
21°C or below 69%
31°C or higher 59%
22°C 47%
28°C 47%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
21°C or below
69%
22°C
47%
23°C
24%
24°C
24%
25°C
23%
26°C
26%
27°C
26%
28°C
47%
29°C
24%
30°C
20%
31°C or higher
59%
21°C or below 69%
31°C or higher 59%
22°C 47%
28°C 47%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
21°C or below
$5 Vol.
69%
22°C
$5 Vol.
47%
23°C
$0 Vol.
24%
24°C
$0 Vol.
24%
25°C
$0 Vol.
23%
26°C
$0 Vol.
26%
27°C
$0 Vol.
26%
28°C
$5 Vol.
47%
29°C
$5 Vol.
24%
30°C
$5 Vol.
20%
31°C or higher
$5 Vol.
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from official monitoring indicate persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms over Panama City on August 25, driven by the region's wet-season atmospheric instability and high humidity levels near 85-90%. These conditions suppress nocturnal radiative cooling, typically holding minimum temperatures near the 25-26°C historical August average rather than allowing drops toward 21°C or surges above 30°C. Model consensus shows limited diurnal variation due to ongoing moisture and light northwest winds, with any clearer intervals potentially enabling slightly lower readings. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow uncertainty band around typical tropical baselines, as new observational data or revised runs could refine the exact overnight low before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$30End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from official monitoring indicate persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms over Panama City on August 25, driven by the region's wet-season atmospheric instability and high humidity levels near 85-90%. These conditions suppress nocturnal radiative cooling, typically holding minimum temperatures near the 25-26°C historical August average rather than allowing drops toward 21°C or surges above 30°C. Model consensus shows limited diurnal variation due to ongoing moisture and light northwest winds, with any clearer intervals potentially enabling slightly lower readings. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow uncertainty band around typical tropical baselines, as new observational data or revised runs could refine the exact overnight low before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$30End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from official monitoring indicate persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms over Panama City on August 25, driven by the region's wet-season atmospheric instability and high humidity levels near 85-90%. These conditions suppress nocturnal radiative cooling, typically holding minimum temperatures near the 25-26°C historical August average rather than allowing drops toward 21°C or surges above 30°C. Model consensus shows limited diurnal variation due to ongoing moisture and light northwest winds, with any clearer intervals potentially enabling slightly lower readings. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow uncertainty band around typical tropical baselines, as new observational data or revised runs could refine the exact overnight low before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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