Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance points to overnight lows in the low-to-mid 60s for Denver on August 25, driven by partly cloudy skies, light winds, and limited moisture that permit moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs near 85–90 °F. Trader consensus clusters around the 62–65 °F bins because ensemble spreads reflect uncertainty in cloud cover timing and any scattered thunderstorm outflow, which can either suppress or elevate minimum temperatures by a few degrees. Historical August climatology shows typical lows near 57 °F, so current warmer guidance stems from persistent southerly flow and above-average dew points. Updated model runs and evening observations will narrow the range before the calendar day ends.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Denver on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Denver on August 25?
62-63°F 37%
64-65°F 32%
72°F or higher 26%
58-59°F 24%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
53°F or below
17%
54-55°F
11%
56-57°F
11%
58-59°F
24%
60-61°F
24%
62-63°F
37%
64-65°F
32%
66-67°F
24%
68-69°F
22%
70-71°F
2%
72°F or higher
26%
62-63°F 37%
64-65°F 32%
72°F or higher 26%
58-59°F 24%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
53°F or below
$5 Vol.
17%
54-55°F
$0 Vol.
11%
56-57°F
$0 Vol.
11%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
24%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
24%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
37%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
32%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
24%
68-69°F
$5 Vol.
22%
70-71°F
$5 Vol.
2%
72°F or higher
$5 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance points to overnight lows in the low-to-mid 60s for Denver on August 25, driven by partly cloudy skies, light winds, and limited moisture that permit moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs near 85–90 °F. Trader consensus clusters around the 62–65 °F bins because ensemble spreads reflect uncertainty in cloud cover timing and any scattered thunderstorm outflow, which can either suppress or elevate minimum temperatures by a few degrees. Historical August climatology shows typical lows near 57 °F, so current warmer guidance stems from persistent southerly flow and above-average dew points. Updated model runs and evening observations will narrow the range before the calendar day ends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$20End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance points to overnight lows in the low-to-mid 60s for Denver on August 25, driven by partly cloudy skies, light winds, and limited moisture that permit moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs near 85–90 °F. Trader consensus clusters around the 62–65 °F bins because ensemble spreads reflect uncertainty in cloud cover timing and any scattered thunderstorm outflow, which can either suppress or elevate minimum temperatures by a few degrees. Historical August climatology shows typical lows near 57 °F, so current warmer guidance stems from persistent southerly flow and above-average dew points. Updated model runs and evening observations will narrow the range before the calendar day ends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$20End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance points to overnight lows in the low-to-mid 60s for Denver on August 25, driven by partly cloudy skies, light winds, and limited moisture that permit moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs near 85–90 °F. Trader consensus clusters around the 62–65 °F bins because ensemble spreads reflect uncertainty in cloud cover timing and any scattered thunderstorm outflow, which can either suppress or elevate minimum temperatures by a few degrees. Historical August climatology shows typical lows near 57 °F, so current warmer guidance stems from persistent southerly flow and above-average dew points. Updated model runs and evening observations will narrow the range before the calendar day ends.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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