Recent National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts for Denver on August 25 point to a mostly sunny day with highs near 87–89°F before afternoon convective development, supporting the tight market clustering around the 86–89°F bins. Key differentiators include the timing and coverage of thunderstorms, which could cap peak temperatures through increased cloud cover, downdrafts, and evaporative cooling if they initiate earlier than modeled. Diurnal heating under southwesterly flow, combined with available moisture from the monsoon ridge, drives uncertainty in maximum readings, while historical August normals near 87°F provide a baseline. Updated model runs and National Weather Service briefings over the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on August 25?
Highest temperature in Denver on August 25?
88-89°F 34%
86-87°F 30%
84-85°F 17%
90-91°F 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
77°F or below
1%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
4%
82-83°F
4%
84-85°F
17%
86-87°F
30%
88-89°F
34%
90-91°F
11%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
2%
96°F or higher
2%
88-89°F 34%
86-87°F 30%
84-85°F 17%
90-91°F 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
77°F or below
$80 Vol.
1%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
2%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
4%
82-83°F
$12 Vol.
4%
84-85°F
$20 Vol.
17%
86-87°F
$56 Vol.
30%
88-89°F
$156 Vol.
34%
90-91°F
$3 Vol.
11%
92-93°F
$0 Vol.
3%
94-95°F
$7 Vol.
2%
96°F or higher
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts for Denver on August 25 point to a mostly sunny day with highs near 87–89°F before afternoon convective development, supporting the tight market clustering around the 86–89°F bins. Key differentiators include the timing and coverage of thunderstorms, which could cap peak temperatures through increased cloud cover, downdrafts, and evaporative cooling if they initiate earlier than modeled. Diurnal heating under southwesterly flow, combined with available moisture from the monsoon ridge, drives uncertainty in maximum readings, while historical August normals near 87°F provide a baseline. Updated model runs and National Weather Service briefings over the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volume
$335End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts for Denver on August 25 point to a mostly sunny day with highs near 87–89°F before afternoon convective development, supporting the tight market clustering around the 86–89°F bins. Key differentiators include the timing and coverage of thunderstorms, which could cap peak temperatures through increased cloud cover, downdrafts, and evaporative cooling if they initiate earlier than modeled. Diurnal heating under southwesterly flow, combined with available moisture from the monsoon ridge, drives uncertainty in maximum readings, while historical August normals near 87°F provide a baseline. Updated model runs and National Weather Service briefings over the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$335End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts for Denver on August 25 point to a mostly sunny day with highs near 87–89°F before afternoon convective development, supporting the tight market clustering around the 86–89°F bins. Key differentiators include the timing and coverage of thunderstorms, which could cap peak temperatures through increased cloud cover, downdrafts, and evaporative cooling if they initiate earlier than modeled. Diurnal heating under southwesterly flow, combined with available moisture from the monsoon ridge, drives uncertainty in maximum readings, while historical August normals near 87°F provide a baseline. Updated model runs and National Weather Service briefings over the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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